EPLCards
Newcastle — Cards under 2.5Bold pick
Stated probability
69.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Card predictions use the league-average referee. A match's referee is rarely assigned when these predictions are made, about three days before kickoff, so the specific referee's tendencies are not part of the model.
Why
- Referee avg cards r10↑
- 4.16
- Yellows for r5↑
- 2.60
- Rest days
- 8
- xG for (last 5)
- 1.39
- Shots on target for (last 5)
- 3.80
- Reds for r5
- 0.00
- Fouls for r5
- 10.20
- Shots for (last 5)
- 12.80
- xG against (last 5)
- 1.91
- Corners for (last 5)
- 4.60
- Shots on target against (last 5)
- 4.60
- Shots against (last 5)
- 15.40
- Corners against (last 5)
- 5.20
Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.
- Fixture
- Newcastle vs Everton
- Kickoff
- Locked at
- Model
- slate_generator_epl (v4)
- Prediction ID
- #29218