EPLCards
Nottingham Forest — Cards under 2.5Bold pickmiss
Stated probability
61.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Actual resultMiss (3)
Card predictions use the league-average referee. A match's referee is rarely assigned when these predictions are made, about three days before kickoff, so the specific referee's tendencies are not part of the model.
Why
- Referee avg cards r10↑
- 4.16
- Yellows for r5↑
- 2.20
- Rest days
- 7
- xG for (last 5)
- 2.13
- Shots on target for (last 5)
- 4.60
- Fouls for r5
- 12.60
- Shots for (last 5)
- 20.20
- xG against (last 5)
- 1.23
- Corners for (last 5)
- 5.60
- Shots on target against (last 5)
- 3.80
- Shots against (last 5)
- 9.20
- Corners against (last 5)
- 3.80
Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.
- Kickoff
- Locked at
- Graded at
- Model
- slate_generator_epl (v4)
- Prediction ID
- #26713