← Ipswich Town vs Nottingham Forest
EPLCards

Nottingham Forest — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit

Stated probability
60.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Actual resultHit (1)

Card predictions use the league-average referee. A match's referee is rarely assigned when these predictions are made, about three days before kickoff, so the specific referee's tendencies are not part of the model.

Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Fouls for r5↑
14.80
Rest days
5
xG for (last 5)
1.82
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Shots for (last 5)
19.20
xG against (last 5)
1.36
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
10.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

Kickoff
Locked at
Graded at
Model
slate_generator_epl (v4)
Prediction ID
#24193