← Back to fixtures Team Ratings Dixon-Coles fits an attack and defence rating for every team from all available match history, weighted toward recent form. Error bars are a 90% bootstrap confidence interval (200 refits on resampled data) — a wide bar means the model genuinely isn't sure yet, usually from a team with too few matches to pin down. Sorted by attack rating, highest first. Both charts read the same way: further right is stronger.
Bundesliga 27 teams · fit on 1602 matches
Attack Bayern Munich Bayern Munich: Attack 0.838 (90% CI 0.777 to 0.943, n=100 bootstrap samples) SV Elversberg SV Elversberg: Attack 0.438 (90% CI -0.294 to 0.823, n=100 bootstrap samples) Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen: Attack 0.433 (90% CI 0.354 to 0.537, n=100 bootstrap samples) Borussia Dortmu… Borussia Dortmund: Attack 0.411 (90% CI 0.323 to 0.526, n=100 bootstrap samples) RB Leipzig RB Leipzig: Attack 0.380 (90% CI 0.286 to 0.499, n=100 bootstrap samples) VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart: Attack 0.361 (90% CI 0.243 to 0.482, n=100 bootstrap samples) Eintracht Frank… Eintracht Frankfurt: Attack 0.243 (90% CI 0.145 to 0.368, n=100 bootstrap samples) 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim: Attack 0.242 (90% CI 0.159 to 0.368, n=100 bootstrap samples) SC Freiburg SC Freiburg: Attack 0.154 (90% CI 0.038 to 0.287, n=100 bootstrap samples) FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05: Attack 0.098 (90% CI -0.010 to 0.269, n=100 bootstrap samples) Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel: Attack 0.071 (90% CI -0.130 to 0.318, n=100 bootstrap samples) Borussia Monche… Borussia Monchengladbach: Attack 0.064 (90% CI -0.043 to 0.197, n=100 bootstrap samples) Werder Bremen Werder Bremen: Attack 0.052 (90% CI -0.067 to 0.193, n=100 bootstrap samples) VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg: Attack 0.027 (90% CI -0.110 to 0.206, n=100 bootstrap samples) FC Augsburg FC Augsburg: Attack 0.019 (90% CI -0.104 to 0.145, n=100 bootstrap samples) 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln: Attack -0.063 (90% CI -0.213 to 0.062, n=100 bootstrap samples) 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim: Attack -0.092 (90% CI -0.236 to 0.058, n=100 bootstrap samples) Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin: Attack -0.132 (90% CI -0.236 to 0.034, n=100 bootstrap samples) Union Berlin Union Berlin: Attack -0.144 (90% CI -0.279 to 0.007, n=100 bootstrap samples) Hamburger SV Hamburger SV: Attack -0.156 (90% CI -0.373 to 0.066, n=100 bootstrap samples) VfL Bochum VfL Bochum: Attack -0.228 (90% CI -0.348 to -0.097, n=100 bootstrap samples) SpVgg Greuther … SpVgg Greuther Furth: Attack -0.423 (90% CI -0.591 to -0.242, n=100 bootstrap samples) SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98: Attack -0.465 (90% CI -0.767 to -0.191, n=100 bootstrap samples) FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli: Attack -0.482 (90% CI -0.708 to -0.275, n=100 bootstrap samples) Arminia Bielefe… Arminia Bielefeld: Attack -0.494 (90% CI -0.674 to -0.327, n=100 bootstrap samples) SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07: Attack -0.549 (90% CI -1.516 to -0.001, n=100 bootstrap samples) FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04: Attack -0.603 (90% CI -1.134 to -0.166, n=100 bootstrap samples)
Defence Shown flipped so further right still means stronger — Dixon-Coles' raw defence parameter is lower for a better defence.
Bayern Munich Bayern Munich: Defence -0.157 (90% CI -0.326 to -0.034, n=100 bootstrap samples) SV Elversberg SV Elversberg: Defence 0.379 (90% CI 0.028 to 0.644, n=100 bootstrap samples) Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen: Defence 0.017 (90% CI -0.118 to 0.147, n=100 bootstrap samples) Borussia Dortmu… Borussia Dortmund: Defence -0.148 (90% CI -0.318 to 0.014, n=100 bootstrap samples) RB Leipzig RB Leipzig: Defence 0.004 (90% CI -0.172 to 0.127, n=100 bootstrap samples) VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart: Defence 0.112 (90% CI -0.036 to 0.199, n=100 bootstrap samples) Eintracht Frank… Eintracht Frankfurt: Defence 0.251 (90% CI 0.096 to 0.358, n=100 bootstrap samples) 1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim: Defence 0.296 (90% CI 0.154 to 0.405, n=100 bootstrap samples) SC Freiburg SC Freiburg: Defence 0.150 (90% CI 0.024 to 0.243, n=100 bootstrap samples) FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05: Defence 0.154 (90% CI 0.027 to 0.229, n=100 bootstrap samples) Holstein Kiel Holstein Kiel: Defence 0.524 (90% CI 0.360 to 0.662, n=100 bootstrap samples) Borussia Monche… Borussia Monchengladbach: Defence 0.290 (90% CI 0.129 to 0.389, n=100 bootstrap samples) Werder Bremen Werder Bremen: Defence 0.236 (90% CI 0.084 to 0.354, n=100 bootstrap samples) VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg: Defence 0.267 (90% CI 0.147 to 0.381, n=100 bootstrap samples) FC Augsburg FC Augsburg: Defence 0.231 (90% CI 0.096 to 0.332, n=100 bootstrap samples) 1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln: Defence 0.265 (90% CI 0.130 to 0.359, n=100 bootstrap samples) 1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim: Defence 0.347 (90% CI 0.207 to 0.447, n=100 bootstrap samples) Hertha Berlin Hertha Berlin: Defence 0.417 (90% CI 0.258 to 0.573, n=100 bootstrap samples) Union Berlin Union Berlin: Defence 0.194 (90% CI 0.032 to 0.333, n=100 bootstrap samples) Hamburger SV Hamburger SV: Defence 0.262 (90% CI 0.086 to 0.368, n=100 bootstrap samples) VfL Bochum VfL Bochum: Defence 0.383 (90% CI 0.245 to 0.502, n=100 bootstrap samples) SpVgg Greuther … SpVgg Greuther Furth: Defence 0.523 (90% CI 0.299 to 0.665, n=100 bootstrap samples) SV Darmstadt 98 SV Darmstadt 98: Defence 0.595 (90% CI 0.406 to 0.748, n=100 bootstrap samples) FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli: Defence 0.121 (90% CI -0.028 to 0.216, n=100 bootstrap samples) Arminia Bielefe… Arminia Bielefeld: Defence 0.141 (90% CI -0.070 to 0.360, n=100 bootstrap samples) SC Paderborn 07 SC Paderborn 07: Defence -0.160 (90% CI -0.728 to 0.162, n=100 bootstrap samples) FC Schalke 04 FC Schalke 04: Defence 0.056 (90% CI -0.243 to 0.348, n=100 bootstrap samples)
Premier League 29 teams · fit on 1990 matches
Attack Manchester City Manchester City: Attack 0.501 (90% CI 0.431 to 0.593, n=100 bootstrap samples) Arsenal Arsenal: Attack 0.388 (90% CI 0.319 to 0.493, n=100 bootstrap samples) Liverpool Liverpool: Attack 0.388 (90% CI 0.310 to 0.486, n=100 bootstrap samples) Chelsea Chelsea: Attack 0.281 (90% CI 0.166 to 0.400, n=100 bootstrap samples) Brighton Brighton: Attack 0.275 (90% CI 0.151 to 0.414, n=100 bootstrap samples) Newcastle Newcastle: Attack 0.243 (90% CI 0.169 to 0.356, n=100 bootstrap samples) Brentford Brentford: Attack 0.208 (90% CI 0.115 to 0.333, n=100 bootstrap samples) Aston Villa Aston Villa: Attack 0.180 (90% CI 0.085 to 0.295, n=100 bootstrap samples) Manchester Unit… Manchester United: Attack 0.167 (90% CI 0.059 to 0.297, n=100 bootstrap samples) Bournemouth Bournemouth: Attack 0.161 (90% CI 0.044 to 0.275, n=100 bootstrap samples) Tottenham Tottenham: Attack 0.150 (90% CI 0.035 to 0.251, n=100 bootstrap samples) Luton Town Luton Town: Attack 0.062 (90% CI -0.108 to 0.230, n=100 bootstrap samples) West Ham West Ham: Attack 0.017 (90% CI -0.067 to 0.100, n=100 bootstrap samples) Fulham Fulham: Attack 0.010 (90% CI -0.097 to 0.143, n=100 bootstrap samples) Leeds United Leeds United: Attack -0.011 (90% CI -0.157 to 0.184, n=100 bootstrap samples) Nottingham Fore… Nottingham Forest: Attack -0.017 (90% CI -0.141 to 0.135, n=100 bootstrap samples) Crystal Palace Crystal Palace: Attack -0.041 (90% CI -0.180 to 0.099, n=100 bootstrap samples) Ipswich Town Ipswich Town: Attack -0.042 (90% CI -0.265 to 0.194, n=100 bootstrap samples) Hull City Hull City: Attack -0.091 (90% CI -0.536 to 0.216, n=100 bootstrap samples) Everton Everton: Attack -0.118 (90% CI -0.238 to 0.006, n=100 bootstrap samples) Coventry Coventry: Attack -0.129 (90% CI -1.453 to 0.462, n=100 bootstrap samples) Sunderland Sunderland: Attack -0.173 (90% CI -0.439 to 0.052, n=100 bootstrap samples) Leicester City Leicester City: Attack -0.196 (90% CI -0.390 to -0.079, n=100 bootstrap samples) Burnley Burnley: Attack -0.209 (90% CI -0.405 to -0.021, n=100 bootstrap samples) Wolves Wolves: Attack -0.220 (90% CI -0.332 to -0.065, n=100 bootstrap samples) Sheffield United Sheffield United: Attack -0.305 (90% CI -0.525 to -0.075, n=100 bootstrap samples) Watford Watford: Attack -0.393 (90% CI -0.676 to -0.146, n=100 bootstrap samples) Southampton Southampton: Attack -0.448 (90% CI -0.601 to -0.284, n=100 bootstrap samples) Norwich City Norwich City: Attack -0.637 (90% CI -0.864 to -0.418, n=100 bootstrap samples)
Defence Shown flipped so further right still means stronger — Dixon-Coles' raw defence parameter is lower for a better defence.
Manchester City Manchester City: Defence -0.222 (90% CI -0.399 to -0.086, n=100 bootstrap samples) Arsenal Arsenal: Defence -0.432 (90% CI -0.572 to -0.295, n=100 bootstrap samples) Liverpool Liverpool: Defence -0.032 (90% CI -0.170 to 0.061, n=100 bootstrap samples) Chelsea Chelsea: Defence 0.105 (90% CI -0.007 to 0.219, n=100 bootstrap samples) Brighton Brighton: Defence 0.037 (90% CI -0.119 to 0.161, n=100 bootstrap samples) Newcastle Newcastle: Defence 0.152 (90% CI 0.018 to 0.250, n=100 bootstrap samples) Brentford Brentford: Defence 0.110 (90% CI -0.031 to 0.220, n=100 bootstrap samples) Aston Villa Aston Villa: Defence 0.083 (90% CI -0.062 to 0.198, n=100 bootstrap samples) Manchester Unit… Manchester United: Defence 0.120 (90% CI -0.008 to 0.198, n=100 bootstrap samples) Bournemouth Bournemouth: Defence 0.133 (90% CI -0.009 to 0.243, n=100 bootstrap samples) Tottenham Tottenham: Defence 0.207 (90% CI 0.090 to 0.291, n=100 bootstrap samples) Luton Town Luton Town: Defence 0.578 (90% CI 0.407 to 0.686, n=100 bootstrap samples) West Ham West Ham: Defence 0.286 (90% CI 0.149 to 0.384, n=100 bootstrap samples) Fulham Fulham: Defence 0.096 (90% CI -0.042 to 0.196, n=100 bootstrap samples) Leeds United Leeds United: Defence 0.142 (90% CI -0.053 to 0.246, n=100 bootstrap samples) Nottingham Fore… Nottingham Forest: Defence 0.102 (90% CI -0.029 to 0.210, n=100 bootstrap samples) Crystal Palace Crystal Palace: Defence 0.184 (90% CI 0.065 to 0.290, n=100 bootstrap samples) Ipswich Town Ipswich Town: Defence 0.528 (90% CI 0.389 to 0.675, n=100 bootstrap samples) Hull City Hull City: Defence -0.058 (90% CI -0.694 to 0.351, n=100 bootstrap samples) Everton Everton: Defence 0.008 (90% CI -0.157 to 0.106, n=100 bootstrap samples) Coventry Coventry: Defence 0.297 (90% CI -0.266 to 0.679, n=100 bootstrap samples) Sunderland Sunderland: Defence 0.121 (90% CI -0.181 to 0.344, n=100 bootstrap samples) Leicester City Leicester City: Defence 0.440 (90% CI 0.316 to 0.570, n=100 bootstrap samples) Burnley Burnley: Defence 0.429 (90% CI 0.292 to 0.531, n=100 bootstrap samples) Wolves Wolves: Defence 0.301 (90% CI 0.192 to 0.394, n=100 bootstrap samples) Sheffield United Sheffield United: Defence 0.757 (90% CI 0.545 to 0.898, n=100 bootstrap samples) Watford Watford: Defence 0.491 (90% CI 0.245 to 0.687, n=100 bootstrap samples) Southampton Southampton: Defence 0.523 (90% CI 0.395 to 0.600, n=100 bootstrap samples) Norwich City Norwich City: Defence 0.568 (90% CI 0.366 to 0.733, n=100 bootstrap samples)
La Liga 29 teams · fit on 2009 matches
Attack Barcelona Barcelona: Attack 0.773 (90% CI 0.682 to 0.888, n=100 bootstrap samples) Real Madrid Real Madrid: Attack 0.554 (90% CI 0.492 to 0.651, n=100 bootstrap samples) Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid: Attack 0.375 (90% CI 0.287 to 0.476, n=100 bootstrap samples) Villarreal Villarreal: Attack 0.369 (90% CI 0.249 to 0.489, n=100 bootstrap samples) Real Betis Real Betis: Attack 0.228 (90% CI 0.128 to 0.346, n=100 bootstrap samples) Real Sociedad Real Sociedad: Attack 0.164 (90% CI 0.042 to 0.276, n=100 bootstrap samples) Racing Santander Racing Santander: Attack 0.135 (90% CI -0.333 to 0.361, n=100 bootstrap samples) Levante Levante: Attack 0.121 (90% CI -0.145 to 0.302, n=100 bootstrap samples) Girona Girona: Attack 0.085 (90% CI -0.040 to 0.211, n=100 bootstrap samples) Athletic Club Athletic Club: Attack 0.076 (90% CI -0.073 to 0.200, n=100 bootstrap samples) Celta Vigo Celta Vigo: Attack 0.070 (90% CI -0.061 to 0.194, n=100 bootstrap samples) Sevilla Sevilla: Attack 0.061 (90% CI -0.073 to 0.187, n=100 bootstrap samples) Deportivo La Co… Deportivo La Coruna: Attack 0.054 (90% CI -0.325 to 0.405, n=100 bootstrap samples) Elche Elche: Attack 0.028 (90% CI -0.147 to 0.163, n=100 bootstrap samples) Almeria Almeria: Attack 0.024 (90% CI -0.149 to 0.198, n=100 bootstrap samples) Osasuna Osasuna: Attack -0.051 (90% CI -0.193 to 0.043, n=100 bootstrap samples) Espanyol Espanyol: Attack -0.064 (90% CI -0.156 to 0.063, n=100 bootstrap samples) Alaves Alaves: Attack -0.072 (90% CI -0.235 to 0.054, n=100 bootstrap samples) Valencia Valencia: Attack -0.084 (90% CI -0.181 to 0.066, n=100 bootstrap samples) Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano: Attack -0.089 (90% CI -0.203 to 0.057, n=100 bootstrap samples) Mallorca Mallorca: Attack -0.113 (90% CI -0.242 to 0.007, n=100 bootstrap samples) Leganes Leganes: Attack -0.128 (90% CI -0.331 to 0.077, n=100 bootstrap samples) Granada CF Granada CF: Attack -0.140 (90% CI -0.372 to 0.044, n=100 bootstrap samples) Las Palmas Las Palmas: Attack -0.216 (90% CI -0.403 to -0.060, n=100 bootstrap samples) Getafe Getafe: Attack -0.338 (90% CI -0.487 to -0.149, n=100 bootstrap samples) Malaga Malaga: Attack -0.421 (90% CI -0.818 to -0.138, n=100 bootstrap samples) Cadiz Cadiz: Attack -0.446 (90% CI -0.556 to -0.303, n=100 bootstrap samples) Valladolid Valladolid: Attack -0.448 (90% CI -0.665 to -0.249, n=100 bootstrap samples) Real Oviedo Real Oviedo: Attack -0.507 (90% CI -0.906 to -0.218, n=100 bootstrap samples)
Defence Shown flipped so further right still means stronger — Dixon-Coles' raw defence parameter is lower for a better defence.
Barcelona Barcelona: Defence -0.235 (90% CI -0.407 to -0.111, n=100 bootstrap samples) Real Madrid Real Madrid: Defence -0.355 (90% CI -0.489 to -0.199, n=100 bootstrap samples) Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid: Defence -0.254 (90% CI -0.421 to -0.129, n=100 bootstrap samples) Villarreal Villarreal: Defence 0.011 (90% CI -0.086 to 0.113, n=100 bootstrap samples) Real Betis Real Betis: Defence -0.031 (90% CI -0.164 to 0.101, n=100 bootstrap samples) Real Sociedad Real Sociedad: Defence 0.082 (90% CI -0.009 to 0.185, n=100 bootstrap samples) Racing Santander Racing Santander: Defence 0.661 (90% CI 0.441 to 0.792, n=100 bootstrap samples) Levante Levante: Defence 0.243 (90% CI 0.079 to 0.363, n=100 bootstrap samples) Girona Girona: Defence 0.086 (90% CI -0.043 to 0.221, n=100 bootstrap samples) Athletic Club Athletic Club: Defence -0.122 (90% CI -0.275 to -0.006, n=100 bootstrap samples) Celta Vigo Celta Vigo: Defence 0.005 (90% CI -0.152 to 0.121, n=100 bootstrap samples) Sevilla Sevilla: Defence 0.127 (90% CI 0.022 to 0.213, n=100 bootstrap samples) Deportivo La Co… Deportivo La Coruna: Defence 0.024 (90% CI -0.225 to 0.279, n=100 bootstrap samples) Elche Elche: Defence 0.140 (90% CI -0.023 to 0.282, n=100 bootstrap samples) Almeria Almeria: Defence 0.345 (90% CI 0.224 to 0.496, n=100 bootstrap samples) Osasuna Osasuna: Defence 0.102 (90% CI -0.049 to 0.239, n=100 bootstrap samples) Espanyol Espanyol: Defence 0.068 (90% CI -0.045 to 0.199, n=100 bootstrap samples) Alaves Alaves: Defence 0.069 (90% CI -0.105 to 0.199, n=100 bootstrap samples) Valencia Valencia: Defence 0.043 (90% CI -0.102 to 0.162, n=100 bootstrap samples) Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano: Defence -0.001 (90% CI -0.121 to 0.167, n=100 bootstrap samples) Mallorca Mallorca: Defence 0.011 (90% CI -0.089 to 0.088, n=100 bootstrap samples) Leganes Leganes: Defence 0.116 (90% CI -0.143 to 0.335, n=100 bootstrap samples) Granada CF Granada CF: Defence 0.394 (90% CI 0.187 to 0.596, n=100 bootstrap samples) Las Palmas Las Palmas: Defence 0.120 (90% CI -0.015 to 0.235, n=100 bootstrap samples) Getafe Getafe: Defence -0.145 (90% CI -0.279 to -0.031, n=100 bootstrap samples) Malaga Malaga: Defence 0.315 (90% CI -0.159 to 0.650, n=100 bootstrap samples) Cadiz Cadiz: Defence 0.053 (90% CI -0.169 to 0.220, n=100 bootstrap samples) Valladolid Valladolid: Defence 0.512 (90% CI 0.366 to 0.663, n=100 bootstrap samples) Real Oviedo Real Oviedo: Defence 0.154 (90% CI -0.017 to 0.336, n=100 bootstrap samples)
MLS 30 teams · fit on 3009 matches
Attack Inter Miami Inter Miami: Attack 0.373 (90% CI 0.269 to 0.464, n=100 bootstrap samples) Vancouver White… Vancouver Whitecaps: Attack 0.197 (90% CI 0.083 to 0.296, n=100 bootstrap samples) Orlando City SC Orlando City SC: Attack 0.158 (90% CI 0.040 to 0.242, n=100 bootstrap samples) Philadelphia Un… Philadelphia Union: Attack 0.156 (90% CI 0.047 to 0.275, n=100 bootstrap samples) San Diego San Diego: Attack 0.145 (90% CI 0.003 to 0.278, n=100 bootstrap samples) FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati: Attack 0.128 (90% CI 0.024 to 0.243, n=100 bootstrap samples) Columbus Crew Columbus Crew: Attack 0.111 (90% CI 0.015 to 0.205, n=100 bootstrap samples) Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC: Attack 0.093 (90% CI -0.004 to 0.216, n=100 bootstrap samples) Chicago Fire Chicago Fire: Attack 0.087 (90% CI -0.033 to 0.191, n=100 bootstrap samples) Nashville SC Nashville SC: Attack 0.074 (90% CI -0.030 to 0.153, n=100 bootstrap samples) Charlotte Charlotte: Attack 0.063 (90% CI -0.046 to 0.187, n=100 bootstrap samples) Los Angeles Gal… Los Angeles Galaxy: Attack 0.057 (90% CI -0.028 to 0.151, n=100 bootstrap samples) Portland Timbers Portland Timbers: Attack 0.048 (90% CI -0.072 to 0.170, n=100 bootstrap samples) St. Louis City St. Louis City: Attack 0.041 (90% CI -0.100 to 0.182, n=100 bootstrap samples) Minnesota Unite… Minnesota United FC: Attack 0.038 (90% CI -0.062 to 0.140, n=100 bootstrap samples) FC Dallas FC Dallas: Attack 0.037 (90% CI -0.057 to 0.129, n=100 bootstrap samples) San Jose Earthq… San Jose Earthquakes: Attack 0.006 (90% CI -0.126 to 0.108, n=100 bootstrap samples) New England Rev… New England Revolution: Attack -0.036 (90% CI -0.197 to 0.085, n=100 bootstrap samples) Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake: Attack -0.059 (90% CI -0.182 to 0.032, n=100 bootstrap samples) New York City FC New York City FC: Attack -0.060 (90% CI -0.161 to 0.041, n=100 bootstrap samples) Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders: Attack -0.084 (90% CI -0.187 to 0.044, n=100 bootstrap samples) New York Red Bu… New York Red Bulls: Attack -0.108 (90% CI -0.239 to 0.041, n=100 bootstrap samples) Sporting Kansas… Sporting Kansas City: Attack -0.126 (90% CI -0.238 to -0.008, n=100 bootstrap samples) Atlanta United … Atlanta United FC: Attack -0.138 (90% CI -0.241 to -0.029, n=100 bootstrap samples) Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids: Attack -0.139 (90% CI -0.264 to 0.003, n=100 bootstrap samples) Toronto FC Toronto FC: Attack -0.169 (90% CI -0.296 to -0.054, n=100 bootstrap samples) Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo: Attack -0.174 (90% CI -0.305 to -0.055, n=100 bootstrap samples) Austin Austin: Attack -0.196 (90% CI -0.319 to -0.080, n=100 bootstrap samples) DC United DC United: Attack -0.258 (90% CI -0.421 to -0.147, n=100 bootstrap samples) CF Montreal CF Montreal: Attack -0.267 (90% CI -0.433 to -0.146, n=100 bootstrap samples)
Defence Shown flipped so further right still means stronger — Dixon-Coles' raw defence parameter is lower for a better defence.
Inter Miami Inter Miami: Defence 0.326 (90% CI 0.214 to 0.425, n=100 bootstrap samples) Vancouver White… Vancouver Whitecaps: Defence 0.059 (90% CI -0.097 to 0.176, n=100 bootstrap samples) Orlando City SC Orlando City SC: Defence 0.434 (90% CI 0.293 to 0.544, n=100 bootstrap samples) Philadelphia Un… Philadelphia Union: Defence 0.116 (90% CI -0.007 to 0.270, n=100 bootstrap samples) San Diego San Diego: Defence 0.328 (90% CI 0.152 to 0.522, n=100 bootstrap samples) FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati: Defence 0.370 (90% CI 0.242 to 0.493, n=100 bootstrap samples) Columbus Crew Columbus Crew: Defence 0.185 (90% CI 0.046 to 0.280, n=100 bootstrap samples) Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC: Defence 0.032 (90% CI -0.137 to 0.145, n=100 bootstrap samples) Chicago Fire Chicago Fire: Defence 0.336 (90% CI 0.209 to 0.444, n=100 bootstrap samples) Nashville SC Nashville SC: Defence -0.050 (90% CI -0.196 to 0.063, n=100 bootstrap samples) Charlotte Charlotte: Defence 0.192 (90% CI 0.061 to 0.322, n=100 bootstrap samples) Los Angeles Gal… Los Angeles Galaxy: Defence 0.401 (90% CI 0.298 to 0.510, n=100 bootstrap samples) Portland Timbers Portland Timbers: Defence 0.381 (90% CI 0.271 to 0.475, n=100 bootstrap samples) St. Louis City St. Louis City: Defence 0.337 (90% CI 0.221 to 0.446, n=100 bootstrap samples) Minnesota Unite… Minnesota United FC: Defence 0.295 (90% CI 0.164 to 0.436, n=100 bootstrap samples) FC Dallas FC Dallas: Defence 0.273 (90% CI 0.131 to 0.375, n=100 bootstrap samples) San Jose Earthq… San Jose Earthquakes: Defence 0.394 (90% CI 0.265 to 0.533, n=100 bootstrap samples) New England Rev… New England Revolution: Defence 0.281 (90% CI 0.177 to 0.384, n=100 bootstrap samples) Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake: Defence 0.260 (90% CI 0.163 to 0.348, n=100 bootstrap samples) New York City FC New York City FC: Defence 0.108 (90% CI -0.027 to 0.233, n=100 bootstrap samples) Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders: Defence 0.107 (90% CI -0.048 to 0.226, n=100 bootstrap samples) New York Red Bu… New York Red Bulls: Defence 0.265 (90% CI 0.155 to 0.381, n=100 bootstrap samples) Sporting Kansas… Sporting Kansas City: Defence 0.598 (90% CI 0.504 to 0.683, n=100 bootstrap samples) Atlanta United … Atlanta United FC: Defence 0.342 (90% CI 0.244 to 0.448, n=100 bootstrap samples) Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids: Defence 0.310 (90% CI 0.182 to 0.419, n=100 bootstrap samples) Toronto FC Toronto FC: Defence 0.377 (90% CI 0.276 to 0.477, n=100 bootstrap samples) Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo: Defence 0.144 (90% CI 0.012 to 0.271, n=100 bootstrap samples) Austin Austin: Defence 0.359 (90% CI 0.242 to 0.471, n=100 bootstrap samples) DC United DC United: Defence 0.457 (90% CI 0.323 to 0.554, n=100 bootstrap samples) CF Montreal CF Montreal: Defence 0.433 (90% CI 0.307 to 0.542, n=100 bootstrap samples)
Serie A 27 teams · fit on 2000 matches
Attack Inter Inter: Attack 0.640 (90% CI 0.519 to 0.760, n=100 bootstrap samples) Frosinone Frosinone: Attack 0.424 (90% CI 0.157 to 0.625, n=100 bootstrap samples) Roma Roma: Attack 0.386 (90% CI 0.308 to 0.494, n=100 bootstrap samples) Milan Milan: Attack 0.332 (90% CI 0.233 to 0.432, n=100 bootstrap samples) Atalanta Atalanta: Attack 0.329 (90% CI 0.237 to 0.433, n=100 bootstrap samples) Como Como: Attack 0.313 (90% CI 0.178 to 0.490, n=100 bootstrap samples) Napoli Napoli: Attack 0.294 (90% CI 0.221 to 0.407, n=100 bootstrap samples) Juventus Juventus: Attack 0.223 (90% CI 0.135 to 0.330, n=100 bootstrap samples) Lazio Lazio: Attack 0.220 (90% CI 0.066 to 0.352, n=100 bootstrap samples) Fiorentina Fiorentina: Attack 0.158 (90% CI 0.038 to 0.289, n=100 bootstrap samples) Bologna Bologna: Attack 0.150 (90% CI 0.009 to 0.242, n=100 bootstrap samples) Sassuolo Sassuolo: Attack 0.107 (90% CI -0.005 to 0.231, n=100 bootstrap samples) Udinese Udinese: Attack -0.023 (90% CI -0.185 to 0.114, n=100 bootstrap samples) Torino Torino: Attack -0.034 (90% CI -0.140 to 0.096, n=100 bootstrap samples) Monza Monza: Attack -0.041 (90% CI -0.204 to 0.108, n=100 bootstrap samples) Genoa Genoa: Attack -0.105 (90% CI -0.228 to 0.016, n=100 bootstrap samples) Cagliari Cagliari: Attack -0.108 (90% CI -0.235 to 0.041, n=100 bootstrap samples) Salernitana Salernitana: Attack -0.190 (90% CI -0.355 to -0.052, n=100 bootstrap samples) Empoli Empoli: Attack -0.263 (90% CI -0.423 to -0.144, n=100 bootstrap samples) Parma Parma: Attack -0.274 (90% CI -0.463 to -0.143, n=100 bootstrap samples) Spezia Spezia: Attack -0.286 (90% CI -0.436 to -0.151, n=100 bootstrap samples) Cremonese Cremonese: Attack -0.308 (90% CI -0.544 to -0.080, n=100 bootstrap samples) Sampdoria Sampdoria: Attack -0.342 (90% CI -0.542 to -0.144, n=100 bootstrap samples) Verona Verona: Attack -0.343 (90% CI -0.503 to -0.229, n=100 bootstrap samples) Lecce Lecce: Attack -0.362 (90% CI -0.528 to -0.202, n=100 bootstrap samples) Venezia Venezia: Attack -0.387 (90% CI -0.654 to -0.171, n=100 bootstrap samples) Pisa Pisa: Attack -0.510 (90% CI -0.916 to -0.290, n=100 bootstrap samples)
Defence Shown flipped so further right still means stronger — Dixon-Coles' raw defence parameter is lower for a better defence.
Inter Inter: Defence -0.177 (90% CI -0.338 to -0.027, n=100 bootstrap samples) Frosinone Frosinone: Defence 0.317 (90% CI 0.086 to 0.539, n=100 bootstrap samples) Roma Roma: Defence -0.199 (90% CI -0.393 to -0.057, n=100 bootstrap samples) Milan Milan: Defence -0.068 (90% CI -0.256 to 0.055, n=100 bootstrap samples) Atalanta Atalanta: Defence 0.012 (90% CI -0.141 to 0.121, n=100 bootstrap samples) Como Como: Defence -0.205 (90% CI -0.406 to -0.054, n=100 bootstrap samples) Napoli Napoli: Defence -0.190 (90% CI -0.338 to -0.056, n=100 bootstrap samples) Juventus Juventus: Defence -0.232 (90% CI -0.397 to -0.053, n=100 bootstrap samples) Lazio Lazio: Defence -0.066 (90% CI -0.202 to 0.049, n=100 bootstrap samples) Fiorentina Fiorentina: Defence 0.144 (90% CI 0.037 to 0.241, n=100 bootstrap samples) Bologna Bologna: Defence 0.022 (90% CI -0.117 to 0.114, n=100 bootstrap samples) Sassuolo Sassuolo: Defence 0.371 (90% CI 0.230 to 0.507, n=100 bootstrap samples) Udinese Udinese: Defence 0.227 (90% CI 0.117 to 0.335, n=100 bootstrap samples) Torino Torino: Defence 0.153 (90% CI 0.031 to 0.245, n=100 bootstrap samples) Monza Monza: Defence 0.435 (90% CI 0.272 to 0.531, n=100 bootstrap samples) Genoa Genoa: Defence 0.101 (90% CI -0.037 to 0.205, n=100 bootstrap samples) Cagliari Cagliari: Defence 0.232 (90% CI 0.121 to 0.347, n=100 bootstrap samples) Salernitana Salernitana: Defence 0.496 (90% CI 0.382 to 0.578, n=100 bootstrap samples) Empoli Empoli: Defence 0.240 (90% CI 0.091 to 0.361, n=100 bootstrap samples) Parma Parma: Defence 0.113 (90% CI -0.010 to 0.278, n=100 bootstrap samples) Spezia Spezia: Defence 0.375 (90% CI 0.226 to 0.508, n=100 bootstrap samples) Cremonese Cremonese: Defence 0.289 (90% CI 0.072 to 0.431, n=100 bootstrap samples) Sampdoria Sampdoria: Defence 0.427 (90% CI 0.303 to 0.542, n=100 bootstrap samples) Verona Verona: Defence 0.276 (90% CI 0.160 to 0.376, n=100 bootstrap samples) Lecce Lecce: Defence 0.220 (90% CI 0.102 to 0.311, n=100 bootstrap samples) Venezia Venezia: Defence 0.295 (90% CI 0.118 to 0.443, n=100 bootstrap samples) Pisa Pisa: Defence 0.472 (90% CI 0.297 to 0.578, n=100 bootstrap samples)