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LA_LIGAfinal

Villarreal vs Espanyol

Friday, October 30, 2026 at 8:00 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

Villarreal winBold pickmiss
65.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
19.6%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Espanyol winLong shothit
15.0%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoremiss
56.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickmiss
62.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Corners

Espanyol — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.09
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.20
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
14.20
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.73
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.40
Corners against (last 5)
7.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.4%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Villarreal — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.65
Corners for (last 5)↑
7.40
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
18.20
xG against (last 5)
0.89
Shots on target against (last 5)
2.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
7.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Espanyol — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.09
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.20
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
14.20
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.73
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.40
Corners against (last 5)
7.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Villarreal — Corners over 5.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.65
Corners for (last 5)↑
7.40
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
18.20
xG against (last 5)
0.89
Shots on target against (last 5)
2.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
7.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Espanyol — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.09
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.20
Rest days
6
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
14.20
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.73
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.40
Corners against (last 5)
7.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Villarreal — Shots on Target over 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.65
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.20
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
0.89
Corners for (last 5)
7.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
2.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
7.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Espanyol — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.09
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.20
Rest days
6
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
14.20
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.73
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.40
Corners against (last 5)
7.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Roberto Fernández to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.60
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player minutes (last 5)↓
86.80
Player key passes (last 5)
0.40
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

36.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Georges Mikautadze to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.50
Player minutes (last 5)↓
86.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.60
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

33.6%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Alberto Moleiro to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.60
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)
76.20
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

24.0%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Ángel Fortuño over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.40
Player saves (last 5)↓
5.00
Corners against (last 5)↑
7.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Péter Gulácsi over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
7.60
Player saves (last 5)↓
1.60
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

26.4%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'48' Goal (Espanyol) — Roberto Fernández60' Goal (Espanyol) — L. Cabrera
Villarreal 1%
Draw 11%
Espanyol 88%

At 90' (0-1): home 1%, draw 11%, away 88%.

Voided predictions (7)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Espanyol — Shots on Target under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 40 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Villarreal — Corners over 3.5Permalink

    Slated 40 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Villarreal — Shots on Target over 3.5Permalink

    Slated 40 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Villarreal — Corners under 6.5Permalink

    Slated 40 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Villarreal — Shots on Target over 4.5Permalink

    Slated 40 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • M. Dmitrović over 3.5 savesPermalink

    Slated 40 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Edu Expósito to scorePermalink

    Slated 40 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.