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LA_LIGAfinal

Racing Santander vs Espanyol

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 2:15 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

Espanyol winLong shotmiss
39.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Racing Santander winLong shothit
37.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
22.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickhit
70.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickhit
70.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink

Corners

Racing Santander — Corners under 6.5miss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
17.80
xG for (last 5)↓
1.41
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.80
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
xG against (last 5)
3.57
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
3.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Espanyol — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.27
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
15.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
1.41
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.8%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Racing Santander — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
17.80
xG for (last 5)↓
1.41
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.80
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
xG against (last 5)
3.57
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
3.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Racing Santander — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
17.80
xG for (last 5)↓
1.41
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.80
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
xG against (last 5)
3.57
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
3.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Espanyol — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.27
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
15.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
1.41
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Espanyol — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.27
Rest days
7
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
15.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
1.41
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Racing Santander — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
xG against (last 5)↑
3.57
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.41
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.80
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
3.00
Shots against (last 5)
17.80
Corners against (last 5)
7.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Racing Santander — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
xG against (last 5)↑
3.57
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.41
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.80
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
3.00
Shots against (last 5)
17.80
Corners against (last 5)
7.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Espanyol — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.27
Rest days
7
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
15.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
xG against (last 5)
1.41
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Yassir Zabiri to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
1.00
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.50
Player minutes (last 5)↓
71.20
Player key passes (last 5)
0.40
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

37.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Roberto Fernández to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Player key passes (last 5)↑
0.25
Player minutes (last 5)
84.80
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

35.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Julen Agirrezabala over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
17.80
Corners against (last 5)↑
7.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

47.2%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
Ángel Fortuño over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.00
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.33
Corners against (last 5)↑
5.80
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'62' Goal (Espanyol) — Edu Expósito69' Goal (Racing Santander) — J. Belocian84' Goal (Racing Santander) — M. Zabiri
Racing Santander 90%
Draw 9%
Espanyol 1%

At 90' (2-1): home 90%, draw 9%, away 1%.

Voided predictions (4)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Espanyol — Shots on Target under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • M. Dmitrović over 3.5 savesPermalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Edu Expósito to scorePermalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Andrés Martín to scorePermalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.