FixturesStandingsTrack Record

Data from FBref, Understat, and API-Football. Source on GitHub · API docs · RSS

← Back to fixtures
LA_LIGAfinal

Rayo Vallecano vs Elche

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 12:00 PM (your local time)

Ask Petey

Match Result

Rayo Vallecano winmiss
52.4%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
24.8%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Elche winLong shothit
22.8%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoremiss
52.6%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalshit
50.9%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink

Corners

Elche — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.97
Shots for (last 5)↓
8.60
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
2.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
13.60
xG against (last 5)
2.13
Corners for (last 5)
3.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.2%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Rayo Vallecano — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.00
Shots against (last 5)↓
14.80
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.69
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.67
Fouls for r5
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.27
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Rayo Vallecano — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.00
Shots against (last 5)↓
14.80
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.69
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.67
Fouls for r5
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.27
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Elche — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.97
Shots for (last 5)↓
8.60
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
2.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
13.60
xG against (last 5)
2.13
Corners for (last 5)
3.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Rayo Vallecano — Corners over 4.5miss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.00
Shots against (last 5)↓
14.80
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.69
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.67
Fouls for r5
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.27
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Rayo Vallecano — Shots on Target over 3.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.00
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.20
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.69
Reds for r5
0.67
Fouls for r5
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.27
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.1%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Elche — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.97
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
2.60
Rest days
6
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
13.60
Shots for (last 5)
8.60
xG against (last 5)
2.13
Corners for (last 5)
3.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Elche — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.97
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
2.60
Rest days
6
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
13.60
Shots for (last 5)
8.60
xG against (last 5)
2.13
Corners for (last 5)
3.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Rayo Vallecano — Shots on Target over 4.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.00
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.20
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.69
Reds for r5
0.67
Fouls for r5
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.27
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Elche — Shots on Target under 3.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.97
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
2.60
Rest days
6
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
13.60
Shots for (last 5)
8.60
xG against (last 5)
2.13
Corners for (last 5)
3.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Rayo Vallecano — Shots on Target under 5.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.00
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.20
Rest days
4
xG for (last 5)
1.69
Reds for r5
0.67
Fouls for r5
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.27
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

55.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Sergio Camello to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.90
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)↑
73.80
Player key passes (last 5)
1.40
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

40.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Fernando Niño to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.67
Player minutes (last 5)
76.20
Absence rate r10
0.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

26.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

E. Audero over 3.5 saveshit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.80
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

45.1%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
Matías Dituro over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
17.80
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
2.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'
Rayo Vallecano 51%
Draw 26%
Elche 23%

At 9' (0-0): home 51%, draw 26%, away 23%.

Voided predictions (3)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Elche — Shots on Target under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Rayo Vallecano — Corners under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Álvaro García to scorePermalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.