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LA_LIGAfinal

Real Sociedad vs Levante

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 5:30 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

Levante winLong shotmiss
24.1%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
21.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickhit
63.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickhit
64.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Corners

Levante — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.69
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.40
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
xG against (last 5)
2.70
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Real Sociedad — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.60
Shots against (last 5)↓
18.60
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.66
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.00
xG against (last 5)
2.07
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Real Sociedad — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.60
Shots against (last 5)↓
18.60
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.66
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.00
xG against (last 5)
2.07
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Levante — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.69
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.40
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
xG against (last 5)
2.70
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Real Sociedad — Corners over 4.5miss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.60
Shots against (last 5)↓
18.60
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.66
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.00
xG against (last 5)
2.07
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Real Sociedad — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.60
Shots against (last 5)↓
18.60
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.66
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.00
xG against (last 5)
2.07
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

56.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Levante — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Shots for (last 5)↓
12.40
Rest days
3
xG for (last 5)
1.69
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
2.70
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Levante — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Shots for (last 5)↓
12.40
Rest days
3
xG for (last 5)
1.69
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
2.70
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Real Sociedad — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.60
xG for (last 5)↑
1.66
Rest days
7
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.00
xG against (last 5)
2.07
Corners for (last 5)
6.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Levante — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Shots for (last 5)↓
12.40
Rest days
3
xG for (last 5)
1.69
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
2.70
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Real Sociedad — Shots on Target under 5.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.60
xG for (last 5)↑
1.66
Rest days
7
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.00
xG against (last 5)
2.07
Corners for (last 5)
6.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Levante — Shots on Target over 3.5miss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Shots for (last 5)↓
12.40
Rest days
3
xG for (last 5)
1.69
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
xG against (last 5)
2.70
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Orri Óskarsson to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.50
Player minutes (last 5)↑
59.20
Player key passes (last 5)
0.33
Absence rate r10
0.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

32.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Brugui to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.50
Player minutes (last 5)↓
86.40
Player key passes (last 5)
0.25
Absence rate r10
0.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

30.7%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Iván Romero to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.75
Player minutes (last 5)
69.20
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

20.4%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Job Ochieng to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)↑
63.80
Player key passes (last 5)
1.33
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

19.0%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Álex Remiro over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
18.60
Player saves (last 5)↓
3.60
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

48.5%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
M. Ryan over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
17.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
2.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.6%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'6' Goal (Real Sociedad) — Orri Óskarsson22' Goal (Levante) — Nacho Pérez23' Goal (Levante) — Nacho Pérez27' Goal (Real Sociedad) — Beñat Turrientes
Real Sociedad 93%
Draw 7%
Levante 0%

At 90' (2-1): home 93%, draw 7%, away 0%.

Voided predictions (1)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Real Sociedad — Shots on Target over 4.5Permalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.