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LA_LIGAfinal

Sevilla vs Osasuna

Monday, October 26, 2026 at 8:00 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

Sevilla winLong shothit
44.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Osasuna winLong shotmiss
28.9%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
27.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoremiss
51.6%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsmiss
46.9%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink

Corners

Osasuna — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
xG against (last 5)↓
2.15
Rest days
8
xG for (last 5)
1.66
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Fouls for r5
15.40
Shots for (last 5)
11.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Sevilla — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.13
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.00
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.76
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Sevilla — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.13
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.00
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.76
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Osasuna — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
xG against (last 5)↓
2.15
Rest days
8
xG for (last 5)
1.66
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Fouls for r5
15.40
Shots for (last 5)
11.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Sevilla — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.13
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.00
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.76
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Sevilla — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.13
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.60
Rest days
8
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.76
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.1%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Sevilla — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.13
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.60
Rest days
8
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.76
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Osasuna — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG against (last 5)↓
2.15
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.00
Rest days
8
xG for (last 5)
1.66
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Fouls for r5
15.40
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Osasuna — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG against (last 5)↓
2.15
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.00
Rest days
8
xG for (last 5)
1.66
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Fouls for r5
15.40
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Sevilla — Shots on Target under 4.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.13
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.60
Rest days
8
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.76
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Sevilla — Shots on Target over 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.13
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.60
Rest days
8
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.76
Corners for (last 5)
3.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Miguel Sierra to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.33
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.29
Player key passes (last 5)↑
1.67
Player minutes (last 5)
76.20
Absence rate r10
0.30

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

21.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Robbie Ure to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.50
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.14
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.75
Player minutes (last 5)
71.60
Absence rate r10
0.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.2%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Aitor Fernández over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.20
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
2.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Odysseas Vlachodimos over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Player saves (last 5)↑
4.00
Shots against (last 5)↑
13.20
Corners against (last 5)↑
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

40.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'24' Goal (Sevilla) — Isaac82' Goal (Sevilla) — Félix Correia
Sevilla 100%
Draw 0%
Osasuna 0%

At 90' (2-0): home 100%, draw 0%, away 0%.

Voided predictions (3)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Osasuna — Shots on Target under 3.5Permalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Sevilla — Shots on Target over 4.5Permalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • A. Budimir to scorePermalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.