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LA_LIGAfinal

Athletic Club vs Getafe

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 1:00 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

Athletic Club winhit
53.7%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
28.9%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Getafe winLong shotmiss
17.4%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreLong shotmiss
35.6%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsLong shothit
32.4%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Corners

Athletic Club — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
9.60
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.80
Rest days
3
xG for (last 5)
1.78
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.21
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.4%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Getafe — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.62
Corners against (last 5)↓
7.40
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
15.40
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.67
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.60
Yellows for r5
4.40
Shots against (last 5)
17.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.9%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Getafe — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.62
Corners against (last 5)↓
7.40
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
15.40
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.67
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.60
Yellows for r5
4.40
Shots against (last 5)
17.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Athletic Club — Corners over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
9.60
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.80
Rest days
3
xG for (last 5)
1.78
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.21
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Athletic Club — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
9.60
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.80
Rest days
3
xG for (last 5)
1.78
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.21
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Athletic Club — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.78
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.80
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.21
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
9.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Getafe — Shots on Target under 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.62
Shots against (last 5)↓
17.40
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
15.40
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.67
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.60
Yellows for r5
4.40
Corners against (last 5)
7.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Athletic Club — Shots on Target over 4.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.78
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.80
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.21
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
9.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Athletic Club — Shots on Target under 5.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.78
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.80
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.21
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
9.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Getafe — Shots on Target over 2.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.62
Shots against (last 5)↓
17.40
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
15.40
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
1.67
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.60
Yellows for r5
4.40
Corners against (last 5)
7.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

55.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Álex Berenguer to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)
78.00
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.1%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Oihan Sancet to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.40
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Absence rate r10↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
85.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

20.5%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Ramón Terrats to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)
77.00
Absence rate r10
0.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Ivan Azón to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.25
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
80.00
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

16.8%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

David Soria over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
17.40
Corners against (last 5)↑
7.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

52.1%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
Unai Simón over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
9.60
Player saves (last 5)↓
3.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

32.3%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'17' Goal (Athletic Club)17' Goal (Athletic Club) — Álex Berenguer35' Goal (Athletic Club) — I. Williams70' Goal (Athletic Club) — Aitor Paredes86' Red card (Getafe) — Mario Martín88' Goal (Athletic Club) — Yuri
Athletic Club 100%
Draw 0%
Getafe 0%

At 90' (4-0): home 100%, draw 0%, away 0%.

Voided predictions (3)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Getafe — Shots on Target under 4.5Permalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Athletic Club — Corners under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Nico Williams to scorePermalink

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.