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LA_LIGAfinal

Osasuna vs Racing Santander

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 12:00 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

Osasuna winBold pickhit
61.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Racing Santander winLong shotmiss
20.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
18.4%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickmiss
70.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsmiss
75.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink

Corners

Osasuna — Corners under 6.5miss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
2.40
Shots for (last 5)↓
8.40
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.26
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Fouls for r5
13.80
xG against (last 5)
2.35
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

80.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Racing Santander — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners against (last 5)↓
7.80
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.20
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.45
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.40
xG against (last 5)
3.16
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Osasuna — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
2.40
Shots for (last 5)↓
8.40
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.26
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Fouls for r5
13.80
xG against (last 5)
2.35
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Racing Santander — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners against (last 5)↓
7.80
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.20
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.45
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.40
xG against (last 5)
3.16
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Osasuna — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
2.40
Shots for (last 5)↓
8.40
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.26
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Fouls for r5
13.80
xG against (last 5)
2.35
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Osasuna — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.26
Rest days
6
Fouls for r5
13.80
Shots for (last 5)
8.40
xG against (last 5)
2.35
Corners for (last 5)
2.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Racing Santander — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)↓
7.60
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.45
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.40
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
xG against (last 5)
3.16
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Racing Santander — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)↓
7.60
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.45
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.40
Shots for (last 5)
11.20
xG against (last 5)
3.16
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Osasuna — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.26
Rest days
6
Fouls for r5
13.80
Shots for (last 5)
8.40
xG against (last 5)
2.35
Corners for (last 5)
2.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Ante Budimir to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.60
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player key passes (last 5)↑
0.33
Player minutes (last 5)
78.00
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

37.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Andrés Martín to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.00
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.13
Player minutes (last 5)
69.40
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.2%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Julen Agirrezabala over 3.5 saveshit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
17.00
Corners against (last 5)↑
7.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

47.1%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
Aitor Fernández over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.80
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.60
Player minutes (last 5)↑
81.20
Player saves (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

45.9%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'4' Goal (Osasuna) — Jonathan Dubasin9' Goal (Osasuna) — A. Budimir
Osasuna 79%
Draw 12%
Racing Santander 8%

At 10' (1-0): home 79%, draw 12%, away 8%.

Voided predictions (3)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Osasuna — Shots on Target under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 25 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Osasuna — Corners under 4.5Permalink

    Slated 25 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Osasuna — Shots on Target over 3.5Permalink

    Slated 25 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.