FixturesStandingsTrack Record

Data from FBref, Understat, and API-Football. Source on GitHub · API docs · RSS

← Back to fixtures
LA_LIGAfinal

Real Betis vs Osasuna

Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 4:30 PM (your local time)

Ask Petey

Match Result

Real Betis winhit
55.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
23.6%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Osasuna winLong shotmiss
20.7%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
51.8%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalshit
51.7%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink

Corners

Real Betis — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.01
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.80
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
xG against (last 5)
2.32
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Osasuna — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
8.20
xG for (last 5)↓
1.19
Rest days
22
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.00
Fouls for r5
14.60
xG against (last 5)
1.84
Corners for (last 5)
1.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Real Betis — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.01
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.80
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
xG against (last 5)
2.32
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Real Betis — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.01
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.80
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
xG against (last 5)
2.32
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Osasuna — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
8.20
xG for (last 5)↓
1.19
Rest days
22
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.00
Fouls for r5
14.60
xG against (last 5)
1.84
Corners for (last 5)
1.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Osasuna — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.19
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.00
Rest days
22
Fouls for r5
14.60
Shots for (last 5)
8.20
xG against (last 5)
1.84
Corners for (last 5)
1.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Real Betis — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.01
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.80
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
xG against (last 5)
2.32
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Osasuna — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.19
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.00
Rest days
22
Fouls for r5
14.60
Shots for (last 5)
8.20
xG against (last 5)
1.84
Corners for (last 5)
1.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Osasuna — Shots on Target under 3.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.19
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.00
Rest days
22
Fouls for r5
14.60
Shots for (last 5)
8.20
xG against (last 5)
1.84
Corners for (last 5)
1.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Real Betis — Shots on Target under 5.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.01
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.80
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
xG against (last 5)
2.32
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

A. Budimir to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Absence rate r10↑
0.00
Player minutes (last 5)
78.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.67

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

29.7%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Cucho Hernández to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.33
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
69.20
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

28.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Antony to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.50
Player key passes (last 5)↑
0.80
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player minutes (last 5)
81.60
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

19.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Álvaro Valles over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
17.00
Corners against (last 5)↑
7.40
Player saves (last 5)↓
5.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

47.3%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
Aitor Fernández over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
15.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
81.20
Player saves (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.2%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'10' Goal (Real Betis) — Isco31' Goal (Real Betis) — A. Ezzalzouli48' Goal (Real Betis) — Diego Llorente51' Goal (Osasuna) — A. Budimir56' Goal (Osasuna) — Raúl García67' Goal (Real Betis) — Isco90+6' Goal (Real Betis) — José Morante
Real Betis 100%
Draw 0%
Osasuna 0%

At 90' (5-2): home 100%, draw 0%, away 0%.

Voided predictions (3)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Real Betis — Shots on Target over 4.5Permalink

    Slated 19 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Real Betis — Corners under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 19 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Isco to scorePermalink

    Slated 19 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.