FixturesStandingsTrack Record

Data from FBref, Understat, and API-Football. Source on GitHub · API docs · RSS

← Back to fixtures
LA_LIGAfinal

Elche vs Celta Vigo

Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 12:00 PM (your local time)

Ask Petey

Match Result

Elche winLong shotmiss
38.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Celta Vigo winLong shotmiss
36.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shothit
25.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoremiss
57.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Corners

Elche — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
17.60
Rest days↓
22
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
14.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
2.07
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Celta Vigo — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.20
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.80
Rest days
21
xG for (last 5)
1.38
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.25
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Elche — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
17.60
Rest days↓
22
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
14.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
2.07
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Elche — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
17.60
Rest days↓
22
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
14.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
2.07
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Celta Vigo — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.20
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.80
Rest days
21
xG for (last 5)
1.38
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.25
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Elche — Corners under 4.5miss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
17.60
Rest days↓
22
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
14.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
2.07
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

55.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Elche — Shots on Target over 2.5miss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
xG against (last 5)↓
2.07
Rest days
22
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
14.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.3%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Celta Vigo — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
12.20
Shots against (last 5)↓
13.20
Rest days
21
xG for (last 5)
1.38
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
xG against (last 5)
1.25
Corners for (last 5)
3.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Celta Vigo — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
12.20
Shots against (last 5)↓
13.20
Rest days
21
xG for (last 5)
1.38
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
xG against (last 5)
1.25
Corners for (last 5)
3.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Elche — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
xG against (last 5)↓
2.07
Rest days
22
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
14.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Elche — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
xG against (last 5)↓
2.07
Rest days
22
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
14.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Fernando Niño to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.67
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
75.80
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

27.3%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Williot Swedberg to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↑
56.40
Player key passes (last 5)
0.50
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

23.0%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Ferrán Jutglà to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.75
Player minutes (last 5)
74.00
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

20.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Matías Dituro over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
17.60
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
2.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Ionuț Radu over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
13.20
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

40.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'
Elche 37%
Draw 26%
Celta Vigo 36%

At 8' (0-0): home 37%, draw 26%, away 36%.

Voided predictions (2)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Over 2.5 goalsPermalink

    Slated 18 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Pablo Durán to scorePermalink

    Slated 18 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.