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LA_LIGAfinal

Barcelona vs Getafe

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 4:30 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

Barcelona winhit
78.4%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
14.5%
roughly 1 in 10
Permalink
Getafe winLong shotmiss
7.1%
roughly 1 in 10
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreLong shotmiss
42.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickhit
60.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Corners

Getafe — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.74
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.40
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.20
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
15.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.33
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
4.00
Shots against (last 5)
13.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

80.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Barcelona — Corners over 4.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
4.41
Shots for (last 5)↑
23.40
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.20
Fouls for r5
8.40
xG against (last 5)
1.48
Corners for (last 5)
7.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
7.80
Corners against (last 5)
2.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.6%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Barcelona — Corners over 5.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
4.41
Shots for (last 5)↑
23.40
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.20
Fouls for r5
8.40
xG against (last 5)
1.48
Corners for (last 5)
7.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
7.80
Corners against (last 5)
2.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.5%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Getafe — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.74
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.40
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.20
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
15.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.33
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
4.00
Shots against (last 5)
13.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Barcelona — Corners over 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
4.41
Shots for (last 5)↑
23.40
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.20
Fouls for r5
8.40
xG against (last 5)
1.48
Corners for (last 5)
7.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
7.80
Corners against (last 5)
2.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Barcelona — Shots on Target over 4.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
23.40
xG for (last 5)↑
4.41
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.20
Fouls for r5
8.40
xG against (last 5)
1.48
Corners for (last 5)
7.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
7.80
Corners against (last 5)
2.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.6%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Getafe — Shots on Target under 4.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.74
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.20
Rest days
20
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
15.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.33
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
4.00
Shots against (last 5)
13.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.4%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Barcelona — Shots on Target over 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
23.40
xG for (last 5)↑
4.41
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.20
Fouls for r5
8.40
xG against (last 5)
1.48
Corners for (last 5)
7.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
7.80
Corners against (last 5)
2.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Getafe — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.74
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.20
Rest days
20
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
15.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.33
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
4.00
Shots against (last 5)
13.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Getafe — Shots on Target under 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.74
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.20
Rest days
20
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
15.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.33
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
4.00
Shots against (last 5)
13.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Lamine Yamal to scoremiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.90
Player shots (last 5)↑
4.80
Player key passes (last 5)↑
5.50
Player minutes (last 5)
85.20
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

46.8%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
Fermín López to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.50
Player minutes (last 5)
84.20
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

34.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Ivan Azón to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.33
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.33
Player minutes (last 5)↓
85.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.33
Absence rate r10
0.39

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

24.1%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Ramón Terrats to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.40
Player goals (last 10)
0.10
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

19.2%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

David Soria over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
13.80
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

41.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'2' Goal (Barcelona)2' Goal (Barcelona) — A. Gordon30' Goal (Barcelona) — Gabriel Jesus73' Goal (Barcelona) — Jules Koundé
Barcelona 100%
Draw 0%
Getafe 0%

At 90' (3-0): home 100%, draw 0%, away 0%.

Voided predictions (4)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Barcelona — Shots on Target over 3.5Permalink

    Slated 18 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Barcelona — Corners over 3.5Permalink

    Slated 18 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Barcelona — Corners under 6.5Permalink

    Slated 18 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Raphinha to scorePermalink

    Slated 18 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.