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MLSfinal

Portland Timbers vs Houston Dynamo

Monday, November 2, 2026 at 2:45 AM (your local time)

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Match Result

Portland Timbers winLong shothit
43.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Houston Dynamo winLong shotmiss
30.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
26.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
56.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalshit
52.5%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink

Corners

Houston Dynamo — Corners under 5.5miss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
2.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
9.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.9%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Portland Timbers — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.20
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
11.80
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
9.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Portland Timbers — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.20
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
11.80
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
9.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Houston Dynamo — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
2.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Shots for (last 5)
9.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.60
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
17.00
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Portland Timbers — Corners over 4.5hit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.20
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
11.80
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
9.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Portland Timbers — Corners under 5.5miss
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.20
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
11.80
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
9.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

55.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Kevin Kelsy to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.80
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
84.80
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

36.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
K. Velde to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
4.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.20
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

35.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Guilherme to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.20
Player minutes (last 5)
87.00
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

30.4%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
A. Lassiter to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.20
Player minutes (last 5)
78.60
Absence rate r10
0.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

23.5%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

J. Bond over 3.5 saveshit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
17.00
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
87.00
Player saves (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

51.4%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
J. Pantemis over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
9.80
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

35.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'25' Goal (Portland Timbers) — David Pereira da Costa65' Goal (Portland Timbers) — K. Velde71' Goal (Houston Dynamo) — A. Bouzat78' Goal (Portland Timbers) — V. Janssen
Portland Timbers 100%
Draw 0%
Houston Dynamo 0%

At 90' (3-1): home 100%, draw 0%, away 0%.