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MLSfinal

Atlanta United FC vs Toronto FC

Sunday, November 1, 2026 at 9:30 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

Atlanta United FC winhit
46.5%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
Toronto FC winLong shotmiss
27.9%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
25.6%
roughly 3 in 10
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
56.4%
roughly 3 in 5
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalshit
53.3%
roughly 1 in 2
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Corners

Atlanta United FC — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
16.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
10.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Toronto FC — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.00
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
13.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Atlanta United FC — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
16.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
10.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Toronto FC — Corners under 4.5hit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.00
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
13.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Atlanta United FC — Corners over 4.5miss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
16.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
10.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Toronto FC — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.00
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
13.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Atlanta United FC — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
16.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
10.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

55.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

J. Sargent to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.25
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.20
Player key passes (last 5)
1.20
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

33.4%
roughly 3 in 10
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T. Corbeanu to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
85.60
Player key passes (last 5)↑
1.80
Player goals (last 10)
0.10
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.7%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

L. Gavran over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
13.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
L. Hoyos over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Player saves (last 5)↓
1.80
Shots against (last 5)↓
10.40
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.20
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

36.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'10' Goal (Atlanta United FC)22' Goal (Atlanta United FC) — M. Almirón40' Goal (Atlanta United FC) — C. Sanchez51' Goal (Atlanta United FC) — A. Miranchuk79' Goal (Toronto FC) — L. Morgan
Atlanta United FC 100%
Draw 0%
Toronto FC 0%

At 90' (3-1): home 100%, draw 0%, away 0%.