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MLSfinal

New York City FC vs CF Montreal

Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 6:00 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

New York City FC winBold pickmiss
62.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shothit
22.3%
roughly 1 in 5
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CF Montreal winLong shotmiss
15.5%
roughly 1 in 5
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
49.5%
roughly 1 in 2
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsmiss
52.6%
roughly 1 in 2
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Corners

New York City FC — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
CF Montreal — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days↑
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
14.60
Shots for (last 5)
10.80
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
New York City FC — Corners over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
New York City FC — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
CF Montreal — Corners under 4.5hit
Why
Rest days↑
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
14.60
Shots for (last 5)
10.80
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
CF Montreal — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Rest days↑
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
14.60
Shots for (last 5)
10.80
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Prince Owusu to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.60
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.40
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)
84.80
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

36.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
A. Martínez to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.60
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
0.40
Player minutes (last 5)
68.20
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

35.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
N. Fernández Mercau to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.60
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

25.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

S. Breza over 3.5 savesLong shot
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
93.00
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

40.5%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
M. Freese over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.25
Shots against (last 5)↓
13.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'41' Goal (New York City FC) — A. Perea90+1' Goal (CF Montreal) — D. Ríos90+2' Goal (CF Montreal) — D. Ríos
New York City FC 11%
Draw 85%
CF Montreal 5%

At 90' (1-1): home 11%, draw 85%, away 5%.