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MLSfinal

Seattle Sounders vs Houston Dynamo

Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 2:30 AM (your local time)

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Match Result

Seattle Sounders winmiss
48.2%
roughly 1 in 2
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Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
28.2%
roughly 3 in 10
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Houston Dynamo winLong shothit
23.6%
roughly 1 in 5
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoremiss
45.6%
roughly 1 in 2
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsLong shotmiss
40.9%
roughly 2 in 5
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Corners

Houston Dynamo — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.20
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
8.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
7.00
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.80
Shots for (last 5)
15.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
7.00
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.80
Shots for (last 5)
15.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Houston Dynamo — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.20
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
8.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Corners over 4.5hit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
7.00
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.80
Shots for (last 5)
15.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.9%
roughly 3 in 5
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Houston Dynamo — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.20
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
8.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

55.8%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

Dejan Joveljić to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
86.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.40
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

34.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Guilherme to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.20
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.20
Player minutes (last 5)
87.00
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

31.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
M. Bogusz to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.60
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

26.3%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Paul Rothrock to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.67
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player minutes (last 5)
79.80
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.4%
roughly 1 in 5
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Jordan Morris to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
1.80
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player minutes (last 5)
69.60
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.4%
roughly 1 in 5
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Goalkeeper Saves

Andrew Thomas over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.40
Corners against (last 5)↑
5.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.1%
roughly 2 in 5
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J. Bond over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
87.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.40
Player saves (last 5)
3.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

40.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'26' Goal (Houston Dynamo)26' Goal (Houston Dynamo) — Lucas Halter
Seattle Sounders 0%
Draw 8%
Houston Dynamo 92%

At 90' (0-1): home 0%, draw 8%, away 92%.