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MLSfinal

Austin vs Real Salt Lake

Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (your local time)

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Match Result

Austin winLong shotmiss
38.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Real Salt Lake winLong shothit
34.6%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
26.7%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
55.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalshit
51.3%
roughly 1 in 2
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Corners

Real Salt Lake — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
15.00
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Austin — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
8.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
0.80
Shots against (last 5)
19.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Austin — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
8.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
0.80
Shots against (last 5)
19.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Real Salt Lake — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
15.00
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Austin — Corners under 5.5miss
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
8.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.00
Yellows for r5
0.80
Shots against (last 5)
19.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Real Salt Lake — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
15.00
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

55.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

M. Uzuni to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
84.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.40
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

26.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Brandon Vázquez to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.20
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player minutes (last 5)↓
87.20
Player key passes (last 5)
0.20
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

26.5%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Diego Luna to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.50
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.25
Player minutes (last 5)
82.80
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

25.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
S. Lobzhanidze to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.40
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player minutes (last 5)
75.80
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

18.6%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Damian Las over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
19.40
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.40
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

40.6%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Rafael Cabral over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.60
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.20
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.40
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.2%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'52' Goal (Austin) — Jorge Alastuey55' Goal (Real Salt Lake) — S. Lobzhanidze61' Goal (Real Salt Lake) — M. Guilavogui
Austin 0%
Draw 7%
Real Salt Lake 92%

At 90' (1-2): home 0%, draw 7%, away 92%.