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MLSfinal

Nashville SC vs Philadelphia Union

Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (your local time)

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Match Result

Nashville SC winmiss
48.3%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
Philadelphia Union winLong shotmiss
26.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shothit
25.6%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoremiss
55.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsmiss
52.4%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink

Corners

Philadelphia Union — Corners under 6.5miss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.80
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
17.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.8%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Nashville SC — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.20
Shots for (last 5)
16.00
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Nashville SC — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.20
Shots for (last 5)
16.00
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Philadelphia Union — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.80
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
17.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Philadelphia Union — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.80
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
17.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Nashville SC — Corners over 4.5miss
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.20
Shots for (last 5)
16.00
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Hany Mukhtar to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
4.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.20
Player minutes (last 5)
87.20
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
M. Iloski to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.80
Player shots (last 5)↑
4.40
Absence rate r10↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
87.40
Player key passes (last 5)
1.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Cavan Sullivan to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.60
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.40
Player key passes (last 5)↑
1.60
Player minutes (last 5)
83.60
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

37.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Sam Surridge to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.60
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.60
Player key passes (last 5)
1.00
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

37.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

A. Blake over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.00
Player minutes (last 5)↑
91.60
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Brian Schwake over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.00
Player minutes (last 5)↑
91.20
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'
Nashville SC 9%
Draw 85%
Philadelphia Union 6%

At 90' (0-0): home 9%, draw 85%, away 6%.