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MLSfinal

FC Dallas vs Columbus Crew

Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (your local time)

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Match Result

FC Dallas winLong shotmiss
43.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Columbus Crew winLong shothit
32.0%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
24.1%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickmiss
63.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickmiss
61.8%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Columbus Crew — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.60
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
12.60
Corners for (last 5)
7.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
15.20
Corners against (last 5)
2.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.8%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
FC Dallas — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
12.20
Corners against (last 5)
6.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Dallas — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
12.20
Corners against (last 5)
6.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Columbus Crew — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.60
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
12.60
Corners for (last 5)
7.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
15.20
Corners against (last 5)
2.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Columbus Crew — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.60
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
12.60
Corners for (last 5)
7.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
15.20
Corners against (last 5)
2.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
FC Dallas — Corners over 4.5hit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
12.20
Corners against (last 5)
6.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Petar Musa to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.90
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
77.80
Player key passes (last 5)
1.50
Absence rate r10
0.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

35.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Josef Martínez to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.33
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.80
Player minutes (last 5)
72.00
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Anass Zaroury to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.80
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.60
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.14
Player minutes (last 5)
80.20
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

18.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Patrick Schulte over 3.5 saveshit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
15.20
Corners against (last 5)↑
2.80
Player saves (last 5)↑
4.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

47.3%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
Daniel over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
12.20
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.60
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'18' Goal (Columbus Crew) — G. Tapia60' Goal (FC Dallas) — S. Moore70' Goal (Columbus Crew) — S. Rodríguez
FC Dallas 0%
Draw 0%
Columbus Crew 100%

At 90' (0-2): home 0%, draw 0%, away 100%.