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MLSfinal

San Diego vs Seattle Sounders

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 2:30 AM (your local time)

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Match Result

San Diego winLong shotmiss
44.8%
roughly 2 in 5
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Seattle Sounders winLong shotmiss
29.8%
roughly 3 in 10
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Draw (90 min)Long shothit
25.4%
roughly 3 in 10
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
58.4%
roughly 3 in 5
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalshit
55.4%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Seattle Sounders — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
7.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.80
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
San Diego — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
7.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.80
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
7.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.80
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
San Diego — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
San Diego — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.1%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

A. Dreyer to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.40
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.75
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

31.9%
roughly 3 in 10
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D. Joveljić to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
85.80
Player key passes (last 5)
0.80
Absence rate r10
0.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

30.6%
roughly 3 in 10
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C. Bakambu to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Player minutes (last 5)↑
48.80
Player key passes (last 5)
0.40
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

26.7%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
M. Ingvartsen to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.40
Player minutes (last 5)↑
60.60
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player goals (last 10)
0.10
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

18.6%
roughly 1 in 5
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J. Morris to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.20
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player minutes (last 5)
73.80
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.3%
roughly 1 in 5
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Goalkeeper Saves

P. Sisniega over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
87.80
Corners against (last 5)↑
4.00
Player saves (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

48.7%
roughly 1 in 2
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A. Thomas over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.60
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'50' Goal (Seattle Sounders) — D. Joveljić55' Goal (Seattle Sounders) — S. Gomez60' Goal (San Diego) — A. Dreyer60' Goal (San Diego) — Gabriel Pirani60' Goal (San Diego) — C. Bakambu90+6' Goal (San Diego) — C. Bakambu
San Diego 9%
Draw 84%
Seattle Sounders 7%

At 90' (2-2): home 9%, draw 84%, away 7%.