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MLSfinal

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United FC

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (your local time)

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Match Result

Houston Dynamo winLong shotmiss
44.5%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Minnesota United FC winLong shotmiss
29.3%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shothit
26.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoremiss
55.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsmiss
52.0%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink

Corners

Minnesota United FC — Corners under 6.5miss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Houston Dynamo — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
7.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Houston Dynamo — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
7.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Minnesota United FC — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Houston Dynamo — Corners over 4.5miss
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
7.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Minnesota United FC — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

56.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Houston Dynamo — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.40
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
7.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

56.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Minnesota United FC — Corners under 4.5miss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

56.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

K. Yeboah to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.90
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.40
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.80
Player minutes (last 5)
83.60
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Guilherme to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.40
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.80
Player minutes (last 5)
86.80
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

31.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
M. Bogusz to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.50
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

26.5%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
T. Chancalay to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player shots (last 5)↑
1.75
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.75
Player minutes (last 5)
83.40
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.0%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

D. Callender over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.80
Player minutes (last 5)↑
91.00
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.40
Player saves (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

48.2%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
J. Bond over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.60
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
87.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'45' Red card (Houston Dynamo)
Houston Dynamo 4%
Draw 85%
Minnesota United FC 11%

At 90' (0-0): home 4%, draw 85%, away 11%.