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MLSfinal

FC Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes

Sunday, October 25, 2026 at 12:30 AM (your local time)

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Match Result

FC Dallas winhit
52.4%
roughly 1 in 2
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San Jose Earthquakes winLong shotmiss
25.3%
roughly 3 in 10
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Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
22.3%
roughly 1 in 5
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickmiss
65.0%
roughly 3 in 5
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickhit
65.7%
roughly 7 in 10
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Corners

San Jose Earthquakes — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.80
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.0%
roughly 4 in 5
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FC Dallas — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
San Jose Earthquakes — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.80
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Dallas — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
FC Dallas — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
San Jose Earthquakes — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.80
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

56.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
San Jose Earthquakes — Corners under 4.5hit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.80
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

56.1%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

P. Judd to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.60
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.50
Player minutes (last 5)
77.40
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

36.9%
roughly 2 in 5
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P. Musa to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.60
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
78.00
Absence rate r10
0.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

35.1%
roughly 2 in 5
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O. Bouda to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player minutes (last 5)↑
65.00
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player key passes (last 5)
0.50
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.8%
roughly 1 in 5
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Goalkeeper Saves

Daniel over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Corners against (last 5)↑
7.60
Shots against (last 5)↓
13.00
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

41.6%
roughly 2 in 5
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A. Gunn over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.75
Shots against (last 5)↓
12.40
Corners against (last 5)↑
4.60
Player minutes (last 5)
92.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

36.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'83' Goal (FC Dallas) — P. Musa88' Goal (FC Dallas) — P. Musa90+4' Goal (FC Dallas) — S. Moreno
FC Dallas 100%
Draw 0%
San Jose Earthquakes 0%

At 90' (3-0): home 100%, draw 0%, away 0%.