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MLSfinal

DC United vs FC Cincinnati

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

FC Cincinnati winLong shothit
42.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
DC United winLong shotmiss
33.7%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
23.5%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickmiss
66.5%
roughly 7 in 10
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickmiss
65.4%
roughly 7 in 10
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Corners

FC Cincinnati — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.00
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
DC United — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.40
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
13.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
DC United — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.40
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
13.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Cincinnati — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.00
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Cincinnati — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.00
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.00
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
DC United — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.40
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
13.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

T. Baribo to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.60
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.60
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

40.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
T. Barlow to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
4.00
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.80
Player minutes (last 5)
74.20
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

29.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Evander to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.20
Player minutes (last 5)
82.20
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

24.2%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Louis Munteanu to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.25
Absence rate r10↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)↑
81.40
Player goals (last 10)
0.10
Player key passes (last 5)
1.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

18.1%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

R. Celentano over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Player saves (last 5)↑
1.25
Shots against (last 5)↑
11.40
Player minutes (last 5)↑
91.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

46.0%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
A. Bono over 3.5 savesLong shot
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.80
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
91.60
Player saves (last 5)
2.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

40.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'35' Goal (FC Cincinnati) — Evander52' Goal (FC Cincinnati) — T. Barlow
DC United 0%
Draw 0%
FC Cincinnati 100%

At 90' (0-2): home 0%, draw 0%, away 100%.