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MLSfinal

Philadelphia Union vs New England Revolution

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

Philadelphia Union winBold pickmiss
60.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
21.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
New England Revolution winLong shothit
18.6%
roughly 1 in 5
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
58.7%
roughly 3 in 5
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickhit
61.8%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Philadelphia Union — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
17.60
Shots for (last 5)
17.20
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.80
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
10.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
New England Revolution — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.80
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
8.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Philadelphia Union — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
17.60
Shots for (last 5)
17.20
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.80
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
10.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Philadelphia Union — Corners over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
17.60
Shots for (last 5)
17.20
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.80
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
10.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
New England Revolution — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.80
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
8.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

M. Iloski to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.80
Player shots (last 5)↑
4.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
85.80
Player key passes (last 5)
1.40
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Cavan Sullivan to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.60
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.40
Player key passes (last 5)↑
1.60
Player minutes (last 5)
83.60
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

37.2%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Carles Gil to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
1.75
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.40
Player key passes (last 5)
2.80
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

29.7%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
D. Turgeman to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
1.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.40
Player key passes (last 5)
0.80
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

28.3%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

M. Turner over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
13.80
Player minutes (last 5)↑
92.20
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.20
Player saves (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
A. Blake over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
10.60
Corners against (last 5)↑
3.20
Player saves (last 5)↓
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)
91.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.0%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'45+3' Goal (New England Revolution) — D. Turgeman86' Goal (New England Revolution)90+1' Goal (New England Revolution) — Carles Gil
Philadelphia Union 0%
Draw 1%
New England Revolution 99%

At 90' (0-2): home 0%, draw 1%, away 99%.