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MLSfinal

Orlando City SC vs New York City FC

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 11:30 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

Orlando City SC winLong shotmiss
43.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
New York City FC winLong shotmiss
31.9%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shothit
24.4%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickhit
62.8%
roughly 3 in 5
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickhit
60.7%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Orlando City SC — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
Corners against (last 5)↓
8.20
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
8.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
19.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
New York City FC — Corners under 5.5miss
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.80
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
10.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.8%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Orlando City SC — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners against (last 5)↓
8.20
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
8.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
19.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Orlando City SC — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners against (last 5)↓
8.20
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
8.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
19.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
New York City FC — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.80
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
10.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

M. Ojeda to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.60
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
91.40
Player key passes (last 5)
1.80
Absence rate r10
0.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

37.2%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
N. Fernández Mercau to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.40
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.80
Player minutes (last 5)
91.20
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

25.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Tyrese Spicer to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↑
57.60
Player key passes (last 5)
1.67
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

21.4%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Luighi Hanri to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.33
Player minutes (last 5)↑
61.60
Player shots (last 5)↑
1.20
Player key passes (last 5)
0.00
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

21.1%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Talles Magno to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.67
Player minutes (last 5)↑
55.80
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player goals (last 10)
0.10
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

18.0%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

M. Crépeau over 3.5 saveshit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
19.00
Player saves (last 5)↑
5.60
Player minutes (last 5)↑
92.20
Corners against (last 5)
8.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

53.7%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
M. Freese over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
10.80
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.50
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

37.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'18' Goal (New York City FC)18' Goal (New York City FC) — A. Martínez32' Goal (Orlando City SC) — A. Griezmann49' Goal (Orlando City SC) — M. Ojeda78' Goal (New York City FC)78' Goal (New York City FC) — Talles Magno
Orlando City SC 92%
Draw 7%
New York City FC 0%

At 90' (2-1): home 92%, draw 7%, away 0%.