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MLSfinal

Columbus Crew vs Toronto FC

Saturday, October 24, 2026 at 7:30 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

Columbus Crew winhit
59.8%
roughly 3 in 5
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Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
22.0%
roughly 1 in 5
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Toronto FC winLong shotmiss
18.2%
roughly 1 in 5
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
55.9%
roughly 3 in 5
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalshit
58.5%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Columbus Crew — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.00
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.00
Corners against (last 5)
2.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.4%
roughly 4 in 5
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Toronto FC — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.40
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.80
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.20
Corners against (last 5)
7.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.6%
roughly 4 in 5
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Columbus Crew — Corners over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.00
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.00
Corners against (last 5)
2.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Toronto FC — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.40
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.80
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
17.20
Corners against (last 5)
7.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Columbus Crew — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
18.00
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.00
Corners against (last 5)
2.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.0%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

A. Zaroury to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.80
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.17
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.75
Player minutes (last 5)
75.80
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

24.0%
roughly 1 in 5
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Josef Martínez to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.33
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.80
Player minutes (last 5)
72.00
Absence rate r10
0.90

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.7%
roughly 1 in 5
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D. Sallói to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
84.60
Player key passes (last 5)
1.40
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

21.0%
roughly 1 in 5
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J. Sargent to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
86.00
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.20
Player shots (last 5)
1.50
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

19.8%
roughly 1 in 5
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Goalkeeper Saves

L. Gavran over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
17.20
Corners against (last 5)↑
7.00
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.60
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

47.2%
roughly 1 in 2
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P. Schulte over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.40
Corners against (last 5)↑
2.80
Shots against (last 5)↑
13.00
Player minutes (last 5)
91.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'16' Goal (Columbus Crew) — G. Tapia21' Goal (Columbus Crew) — M. Amundsen48' Goal (Columbus Crew) — M. Amundsen59' Goal (Columbus Crew) — B. Lennon69' Goal (Toronto FC) — D. Sallói70' Red card (Columbus Crew) — Sekou Tidiany Bangoura81' Goal (Toronto FC) — J. Sargent
Columbus Crew 100%
Draw 0%
Toronto FC 0%

At 90' (4-2): home 100%, draw 0%, away 0%.