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MLSfinal

FC Cincinnati vs Columbus Crew

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 9:00 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

FC Cincinnati winLong shotmiss
44.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Columbus Crew winLong shothit
33.3%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
22.7%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickmiss
68.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickmiss
68.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink

Corners

Columbus Crew — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.60
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Corners for (last 5)
7.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
FC Cincinnati — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
21.20
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
Corners for (last 5)
8.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.50
Shots against (last 5)
11.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.4%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Columbus Crew — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.60
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Corners for (last 5)
7.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Cincinnati — Corners over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
21.20
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
Corners for (last 5)
8.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.50
Shots against (last 5)
11.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Cincinnati — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
21.20
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.60
Corners for (last 5)
8.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
2.50
Shots against (last 5)
11.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Columbus Crew — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.60
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.40
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Corners for (last 5)
7.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
11.40
Corners against (last 5)
3.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Evander to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)
82.20
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

33.4%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Josef Martínez to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.33
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.80
Player minutes (last 5)
72.00
Absence rate r10
0.90

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

23.2%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
A. Zaroury to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.80
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.17
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.75
Player minutes (last 5)
75.80
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

23.2%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
A. Jabbari to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player minutes (last 5)↑
57.60
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.11
Player key passes (last 5)
0.67
Absence rate r10
0.30

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

18.4%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

E. Louro over 3.5 savesLong shot
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.20
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.00
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)
92.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
P. Schulte over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.40
Corners against (last 5)↓
3.00
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.80
Player minutes (last 5)
91.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

35.2%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'22' Goal (Columbus Crew) — G. Tapia54' Goal (Columbus Crew) — T. Habroune
FC Cincinnati 0%
Draw 1%
Columbus Crew 99%

At 90' (0-2): home 0%, draw 1%, away 99%.

Voided predictions (10)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Columbus Crew — Shots on Target under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • FC Cincinnati — Shots on Target over 3.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Columbus Crew — Shots on Target over 2.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • FC Cincinnati — Corners under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Columbus Crew — Shots on Target under 4.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • FC Cincinnati — Shots on Target over 4.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Columbus Crew — Corners under 4.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • R. Celentano over 3.5 savesPermalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • S. Rodríguez to scorePermalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Chase Adams to scorePermalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.