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MLSfinal

San Diego vs Houston Dynamo

Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 2:30 AM (your local time)

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Match Result

Draw (90 min)Long shothit
24.7%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Houston Dynamo winLong shotmiss
24.5%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Corners

San Diego — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
18.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.20
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Houston Dynamo — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
7.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
0.75
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
San Diego — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
18.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.20
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Houston Dynamo — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
7.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
0.75
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
San Diego — Corners over 4.5hit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
18.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.20
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

56.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
San Diego — Corners under 5.5miss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
18.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.20
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

56.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

San Diego — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.20
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.2%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Houston Dynamo — Shots on Target under 4.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.40
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
7.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
0.75
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.6%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
San Diego — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.20
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Houston Dynamo — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.40
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
7.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
0.75
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
San Diego — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.20
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
San Diego — Shots on Target under 4.5miss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.20
Fouls for r5
11.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.40
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Houston Dynamo — Shots on Target under 3.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.40
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
7.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
0.75
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Anders Dreyer to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
4.50
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

28.7%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Marcus Ingvartsen to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
71.20
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

24.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
M. Bogusz to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.60
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.40
Player key passes (last 5)
1.50
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

21.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

CJ Dos Santos over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
18.40
Corners against (last 5)↑
3.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.00
Player saves (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Jonathan Bond over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Player minutes (last 5)↓
87.00
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
3.40
Player saves (last 5)
2.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'20' Goal (San Diego) — A. Dreyer22' Goal (San Diego) — C. Bakambu24' Goal (Houston Dynamo) — Guilherme33' Goal (Houston Dynamo) — M. Bogusz37' Goal (Houston Dynamo) — Guilherme86' Goal (San Diego) — Gabriel Pirani
San Diego 9%
Draw 85%
Houston Dynamo 6%

At 90' (3-3): home 9%, draw 85%, away 6%.

Voided predictions (3)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Both teams to scorePermalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Over 2.5 goalsPermalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • San Diego winPermalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.