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MLSfinal

Los Angeles FC vs Austin

Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 2:30 AM (your local time)

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Match Result

Los Angeles FC winBold pickhit
64.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
21.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Austin winLong shotmiss
14.2%
roughly 1 in 10
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalshit
53.5%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink

Corners

Austin — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
9.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
8.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Los Angeles FC — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Los Angeles FC — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Austin — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
9.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
8.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Los Angeles FC — Corners over 4.5hit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Austin — Shots on Target under 4.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
8.80
Shots for (last 5)
9.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.6%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Los Angeles FC — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.00
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.2%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Los Angeles FC — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.00
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Austin — Shots on Target under 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
8.80
Shots for (last 5)
9.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Los Angeles FC — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.00
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Los Angeles FC — Shots on Target under 4.5miss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.00
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Austin — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.33
Fouls for r5
8.80
Shots for (last 5)
9.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Denis Bouanga to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
1.80
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)
89.00
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

34.6%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
C. Ramirez to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)↑
60.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.25
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

28.3%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
B. Vázquez to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.50
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↑
0.00
Player minutes (last 5)
83.60
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

24.0%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Hugo Lloris over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.20
Player minutes (last 5)↑
92.00
Corners against (last 5)↑
5.60
Player saves (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.6%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
B. Stuver over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.60
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.00
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.20
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'52' Goal (Los Angeles FC) — D. Bouanga66' Goal (Austin) — B. Vázquez67' Goal (Los Angeles FC) — D. Bouanga72' Goal (Los Angeles FC) — Son Heung-Min73' Goal (Los Angeles FC) — Son Heung-Min
Los Angeles FC 100%
Draw 0%
Austin 0%

At 90' (3-1): home 100%, draw 0%, away 0%.

Voided predictions (4)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Los Angeles FC — Corners under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Los Angeles FC — Shots on Target over 4.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Both teams to scorePermalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Myrto Uzuni to scorePermalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.