FixturesStandingsTrack Record

Data from FBref, Understat, and API-Football. Source on GitHub · API docs · RSS

← Back to fixtures
MLSfinal

Los Angeles Galaxy vs Portland Timbers

Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 2:30 AM (your local time)

Ask Petey

Match Result

Portland Timbers winLong shotmiss
30.5%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
22.2%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickmiss
68.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickmiss
69.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink

Corners

Portland Timbers — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.80
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
7.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
10.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.1%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Los Angeles Galaxy — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Portland Timbers — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.80
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
7.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
10.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Los Angeles Galaxy — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Los Angeles Galaxy — Corners over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Portland Timbers — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.80
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
7.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
10.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Los Angeles Galaxy — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.80
Rest days
3
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Los Angeles Galaxy — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.80
Rest days
3
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Portland Timbers — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.80
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
7.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
10.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Portland Timbers — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.80
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
7.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
10.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Los Angeles Galaxy — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.80
Rest days
3
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Kevin Kelsy to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.80
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
84.80
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

36.6%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Kristoffer Velde to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.50
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.40
Player key passes (last 5)
2.00
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

30.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
M. Reus to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.50
Player minutes (last 5)↑
54.00
Player key passes (last 5)
2.20
Absence rate r10
0.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

25.6%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
R. Taylor to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↑
0.80
Player minutes (last 5)
78.00
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.6%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Erik Thommy to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.50
Player minutes (last 5)↑
67.00
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player key passes (last 5)
1.60
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

18.2%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

JT Marcinkowski over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.60
Player minutes (last 5)↑
91.00
Player saves (last 5)
3.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
James Pantemis over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
10.80
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.60
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.80
Player minutes (last 5)
91.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

33.9%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'17' Goal (Los Angeles Galaxy)17' Goal (Los Angeles Galaxy) — M. Reus80' Goal (Los Angeles Galaxy) — J. Haak
Los Angeles Galaxy 100%
Draw 0%
Portland Timbers 0%

At 90' (2-0): home 100%, draw 0%, away 0%.

Voided predictions (3)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Portland Timbers — Shots on Target under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Los Angeles Galaxy — Corners under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Portland Timbers — Corners under 4.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.