FixturesStandingsTrack Record

Data from FBref, Understat, and API-Football. Source on GitHub · API docs · RSS

← Back to fixtures
MLSfinal

FC Dallas vs Seattle Sounders

Thursday, October 15, 2026 at 12:30 AM (your local time)

Ask Petey

Match Result

FC Dallas winLong shothit
41.5%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Seattle Sounders winLong shotmiss
32.3%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
26.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoremiss
55.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Corners

Seattle Sounders — Corners under 6.5miss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.00
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.3%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
FC Dallas — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.00
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Dallas — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.00
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.00
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
FC Dallas — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

FC Dallas — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
FC Dallas — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
6.00
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.00
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
6.00
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.00
Corners for (last 5)
6.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Dallas — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Petar Musa to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
69.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.50
Absence rate r10
0.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

30.5%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Dejan Joveljić to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
85.80
Player key passes (last 5)
1.25
Absence rate r10
0.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

29.4%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Jordan Morris to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
84.00
Player goals (last 10)
0.10
Absence rate r10
0.30

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

18.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Paul Rothrock to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.67
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player minutes (last 5)
79.80
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.0%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Andrew Thomas over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
15.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
6.20
Player saves (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.5%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Daniel over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
12.40
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.80
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)
91.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'28' Goal (Seattle Sounders)63' Goal (FC Dallas) — Kaick
FC Dallas 93%
Draw 7%
Seattle Sounders 0%

At 90' (1-0): home 93%, draw 7%, away 0%.

Voided predictions (3)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • FC Dallas — Corners under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • FC Dallas — Shots on Target over 4.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.