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MLSfinal

FC Cincinnati vs New England Revolution

Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

New England Revolution winLong shothit
25.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
21.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickhit
66.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickhit
67.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink

Corners

FC Cincinnati — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
9.20
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
New England Revolution — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.60
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Cincinnati — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
9.20
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
FC Cincinnati — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.40
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
9.20
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
New England Revolution — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.60
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

New England Revolution — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.20
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Cincinnati — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.40
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
9.20
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Cincinnati — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.40
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.40
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
9.20
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
13.20
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
New England Revolution — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.20
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
New England Revolution — Shots on Target under 3.5miss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.20
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
13.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

56.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Evander to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player key passes (last 5)↑
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)
82.20
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

32.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Carles Gil to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player key passes (last 5)
2.00
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

28.6%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Tom Barlow to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player minutes (last 5)↑
64.80
Player key passes (last 5)
1.20
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

28.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Dor Turgeman to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.20
Player minutes (last 5)
83.60
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

24.2%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Matt Turner over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
13.80
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
92.20
Player saves (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Evan Louro over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Player minutes (last 5)↓
92.60
Shots against (last 5)↓
13.20
Player saves (last 5)↓
3.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

36.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'13' Goal (FC Cincinnati) — T. Barlow21' Goal (New England Revolution) — D. Turgeman43' Goal (New England Revolution) — J. Wynder51' Goal (New England Revolution) — D. Turgeman53' Goal (New England Revolution) — D. Turgeman67' Goal (FC Cincinnati) — K. Denkey
FC Cincinnati 1%
Draw 10%
New England Revolution 89%

At 90' (2-3): home 1%, draw 10%, away 89%.

Voided predictions (4)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • New England Revolution — Shots on Target under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • FC Cincinnati — Shots on Target over 4.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • New England Revolution — Shots on Target over 3.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Kévin Denkey to scorePermalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.