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MLSfinal

DC United vs New York Red Bulls

Wednesday, October 14, 2026 at 11:30 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

New York Red Bulls winLong shotmiss
38.2%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
DC United winLong shothit
35.2%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
26.5%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
55.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Corners

DC United — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Shots for (last 5)
16.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
New York Red Bulls — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.20
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
15.60
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
DC United — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Shots for (last 5)
16.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
New York Red Bulls — Corners under 4.5miss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.20
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
15.60
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
New York Red Bulls — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.20
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
15.60
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
DC United — Corners over 4.5miss
Why
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Shots for (last 5)
16.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

DC United — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.4%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
New York Red Bulls — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
15.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
DC United — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
New York Red Bulls — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
4
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
15.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
DC United — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
16.40
Rest days
4
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
9.40
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
15.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

T. Baribo to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
87.40
Player key passes (last 5)
0.75
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

35.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Mijahir Jimenez to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)↑
55.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.00
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

31.0%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Kimito Nono to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.67
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.25
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.80
Absence rate r10
0.30

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

25.3%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Julian Hall to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.75
Player minutes (last 5)
75.60
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.0%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink
Louis Munteanu to scoreLong shot
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.25
Absence rate r10↓
1.00
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.40
Player goals (last 10)
0.10
Player minutes (last 5)
81.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

18.2%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Sean Johnson over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
15.40
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.40
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.40
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Ethan Horvath over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.40
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.40
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.40
Player minutes (last 5)
81.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.6%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'5' Goal (DC United) — T. Baribo45+5' Goal (DC United) — S. Hefti68' Red card (DC United) — L. Bartlett71' Goal (New York Red Bulls) — Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting
DC United 88%
Draw 11%
New York Red Bulls 1%

At 90' (2-1): home 88%, draw 11%, away 1%.

Voided predictions (3)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • New York Red Bulls — Shots on Target under 3.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • DC United — Corners under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • DC United — Shots on Target over 4.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.