FixturesStandingsTrack Record

Data from FBref, Understat, and API-Football. Source on GitHub · API docs · RSS

← Back to fixtures
MLSfinal

Charlotte vs FC Dallas

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (your local time)

Ask Petey

Match Result

FC Dallas winLong shotmiss
27.9%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
24.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
59.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalshit
57.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Corners

Charlotte — Corners under 6.5miss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
22.40
Rest days
14
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
10.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
3.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
FC Dallas — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
13
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Charlotte — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
22.40
Rest days
14
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
10.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
3.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Dallas — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
13
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Charlotte — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
22.40
Rest days
14
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
10.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
3.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Charlotte — Shots on Target under 5.5miss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
22.40
Rest days
14
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
10.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
3.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Charlotte — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
22.40
Rest days
14
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
10.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
3.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Dallas — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.60
Rest days
13
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Dallas — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.60
Rest days
13
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
12.80
Shots for (last 5)
12.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Charlotte — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
22.40
Rest days
14
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
10.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
3.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Charlotte — Shots on Target over 3.5hit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
22.40
Rest days
14
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
10.20
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
7.60
Yellows for r5
3.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

55.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Petar Musa to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.60
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
72.00
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

36.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Liel Abada to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Player key passes (last 5)↑
0.33
Player minutes (last 5)
68.20
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

29.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Allan Saint-Maximin to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.50
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.40
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.20
Player goals (last 10)
0.14
Absence rate r10
0.30

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.8%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Kristijan Kahlina over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
22.40
Corners against (last 5)↑
7.80
Player saves (last 5)↓
6.40
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

55.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
J. Sirois over 3.5 savesLong shot
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

41.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'22' Goal (FC Dallas) — Logan Farrington64' Goal (FC Dallas) — P. Musa70' Goal (Charlotte) — I. Toklomati Giorno74' Goal (Charlotte) — H. Toffolo90+2' Goal (Charlotte) — I. Toklomati Giorno
Charlotte 93%
Draw 7%
FC Dallas 0%

At 90' (3-2): home 93%, draw 7%, away 0%.

Voided predictions (2)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Charlotte — Corners under 4.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Daniel over 3.5 savesPermalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.