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MLSfinal

New England Revolution vs Seattle Sounders

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 11:30 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

New England Revolution winLong shotmiss
38.7%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Seattle Sounders winLong shothit
34.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
27.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Corners

Seattle Sounders — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.60
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Corners for (last 5)
6.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
New England Revolution — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
13
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
New England Revolution — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
13
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.60
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Corners for (last 5)
6.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.60
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Corners for (last 5)
6.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
New England Revolution — Corners over 4.5hit
Why
Rest days
13
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target under 5.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
6.60
Rest days
8
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
Corners for (last 5)
6.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.5%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
New England Revolution — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.60
Rest days
13
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.3%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
6.60
Rest days
8
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
Corners for (last 5)
6.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
New England Revolution — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.60
Rest days
13
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
6.60
Rest days
8
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.60
Corners for (last 5)
6.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
16.80
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
New England Revolution — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.60
Rest days
13
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.40
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
13.60
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Carles Gil to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
91.00
Player key passes (last 5)
2.40
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

31.0%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Dor Turgeman to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.25
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.40
Player minutes (last 5)
83.00
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

28.7%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Dejan Joveljić to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
87.80
Player key passes (last 5)
1.50
Absence rate r10
0.90

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

26.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Jordan Morris to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.40
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.40
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player minutes (last 5)
79.40
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

18.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Andrew Thomas over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.80
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.60
Player saves (last 5)↓
3.80
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.5%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
M. Turner over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
13.60
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.80
Player minutes (last 5)↑
92.20
Player saves (last 5)
3.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

43.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'15' Goal (Seattle Sounders)15' Goal (Seattle Sounders) — H. Dotson74' Goal (Seattle Sounders) — D. Joveljić81' Goal (Seattle Sounders) — P. Arriola
New England Revolution 0%
Draw 0%
Seattle Sounders 100%

At 90' (0-3): home 0%, draw 0%, away 100%.

Voided predictions (3)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • New England Revolution — Corners under 5.5Permalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Both teams to scorePermalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Paul Rothrock to scorePermalink

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.