MLSfinal

Seattle Sounders vs Sporting Kansas City

Friday, October 2, 2026 at 1:30 AM (your local time)

Ask Petey

Match Result

Seattle Sounders winBold pickhit

64.3%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss

20.6%

roughly 1 in 5

Permalink

Sporting Kansas City winLong shotmiss

15.0%

roughly 1 in 5

Permalink

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit

53.7%

roughly 1 in 2

Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalshit

58.9%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Corners

Sporting Kansas City — Corners under 6.5hit

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.40
Shots for (last 5): 13.00
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 5.00
Shots against (last 5): 14.80
Corners against (last 5): 3.80

77.8%

roughly 4 in 5

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Corners under 6.5miss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

76.8%

roughly 4 in 5

Permalink

Sporting Kansas City — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.40
Shots for (last 5): 13.00
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 5.00
Shots against (last 5): 14.80
Corners against (last 5): 3.80

66.8%

roughly 7 in 10

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

64.0%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

62.8%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Sporting Kansas City — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.40
Shots for (last 5): 13.00
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 5.00
Shots against (last 5): 14.80
Corners against (last 5): 3.80

60.5%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Shots on Target

Sporting Kansas City — Shots on Target under 4.5miss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.40
Shots for (last 5): 13.00
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 5.00
Shots against (last 5): 14.80
Corners against (last 5): 3.80

77.2%

roughly 4 in 5

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target over 2.5hit

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

75.1%

roughly 4 in 5

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickmiss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

70.4%

roughly 7 in 10

Permalink

Sporting Kansas City — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.40
Shots for (last 5): 13.00
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 5.00
Shots against (last 5): 14.80
Corners against (last 5): 3.80

62.8%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Sporting Kansas City — Shots on Target under 3.5miss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.40
Shots for (last 5): 13.00
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 5.00
Shots against (last 5): 14.80
Corners against (last 5): 3.80

59.4%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target over 3.5hit

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

58.4%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target under 4.5miss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

56.9%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Andre Luiz to scoreLong shothit

Why

Player goals (last 10)↑: 1.00
Player shots (last 5)↑: 3.50
Player key passes (last 5)↓: 1.00
Player minutes (last 5): 75.25
Absence rate r10: 0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.9%

roughly 2 in 5

Permalink

D. Joveljic to scoreLong shot

Why

Player goals (last 10)↑: 0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑: 2.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓: 87.80
Player key passes (last 5): 1.50
Absence rate r10: 0.90

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

27.1%

roughly 3 in 10

Permalink

Stephen Afrifa to scoreLong shotmiss

Why

Player shots (last 5): 3.00
Player goals (last 10): 0.20
Player minutes (last 5): 55.80
Player key passes (last 5): 1.00

24.5%

roughly 1 in 5

Permalink

J. Morris to scoreLong shotmiss

Why

Player shots (last 5)↑: 2.25
Player goals (last 10)↑: 0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↑: 1.75
Player minutes (last 5): 70.40
Absence rate r10: 0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.7%

roughly 1 in 5

Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

S. Cleveland over 3.5 savesLong shothit

Why

Shots against (last 5)↑: 17.00
Player saves (last 5)↓: 4.80
Player minutes (last 5)↑: 91.60
Corners against (last 5): 6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.5%

roughly 2 in 5

Permalink

A. Thomas over 3.5 savesLong shothit

Why

Shots against (last 5)↑: 14.20
Corners against (last 5)↓: 5.80
Player saves (last 5)↑: 2.80
Player minutes (last 5): 90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.6%

roughly 2 in 5

Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

Seattle Sounders 99%

Draw 1%

Sporting Kansas City 0%

At 90' (2-1): home 99%, draw 1%, away 0%.

Corners

Sporting Kansas City — Corners under 6.5hit

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.40
Shots for (last 5): 13.00
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 5.00
Shots against (last 5): 14.80
Corners against (last 5): 3.80

77.8%

roughly 4 in 5

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Corners under 6.5miss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

76.8%

roughly 4 in 5

Permalink

Sporting Kansas City — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.40
Shots for (last 5): 13.00
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 5.00
Shots against (last 5): 14.80
Corners against (last 5): 3.80

66.8%

roughly 7 in 10

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

64.0%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

62.8%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Sporting Kansas City — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.40
Shots for (last 5): 13.00
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 5.00
Shots against (last 5): 14.80
Corners against (last 5): 3.80

60.5%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Shots on Target

Sporting Kansas City — Shots on Target under 4.5miss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.40
Shots for (last 5): 13.00
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 5.00
Shots against (last 5): 14.80
Corners against (last 5): 3.80

77.2%

roughly 4 in 5

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target over 2.5hit

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

75.1%

roughly 4 in 5

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickmiss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

70.4%

roughly 7 in 10

Permalink

Sporting Kansas City — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.40
Shots for (last 5): 13.00
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 5.00
Shots against (last 5): 14.80
Corners against (last 5): 3.80

62.8%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Sporting Kansas City — Shots on Target under 3.5miss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.40
Shots for (last 5): 13.00
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 5.00
Shots against (last 5): 14.80
Corners against (last 5): 3.80

59.4%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target over 3.5hit

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

58.4%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Seattle Sounders — Shots on Target under 4.5miss

Why

Rest days: 26
Shots on target for (last 5): 3.80
Shots for (last 5): 13.20
Corners for (last 5): 5.00
Shots on target against (last 5): 7.40
Shots against (last 5): 15.40
Corners against (last 5): 7.20

56.9%

roughly 3 in 5

Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Andre Luiz to scoreLong shothit

Why

Player goals (last 10)↑: 1.00
Player shots (last 5)↑: 3.50
Player key passes (last 5)↓: 1.00
Player minutes (last 5): 75.25
Absence rate r10: 0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.9%

roughly 2 in 5

Permalink

D. Joveljic to scoreLong shot

Why

Player goals (last 10)↑: 0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑: 2.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓: 87.80
Player key passes (last 5): 1.50
Absence rate r10: 0.90

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

27.1%

roughly 3 in 10

Permalink

Stephen Afrifa to scoreLong shotmiss

Why

Player shots (last 5): 3.00
Player goals (last 10): 0.20
Player minutes (last 5): 55.80
Player key passes (last 5): 1.00

24.5%

roughly 1 in 5

Permalink

J. Morris to scoreLong shotmiss

Why

Player shots (last 5)↑: 2.25
Player goals (last 10)↑: 0.20
Player key passes (last 5)↑: 1.75
Player minutes (last 5): 70.40
Absence rate r10: 0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.7%

roughly 1 in 5

Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

S. Cleveland over 3.5 savesLong shothit

Why

Shots against (last 5)↑: 17.00
Player saves (last 5)↓: 4.80
Player minutes (last 5)↑: 91.60
Corners against (last 5): 6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.5%

roughly 2 in 5

Permalink

A. Thomas over 3.5 savesLong shothit

Why

Shots against (last 5)↑: 14.20
Corners against (last 5)↓: 5.80
Player saves (last 5)↑: 2.80
Player minutes (last 5): 90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.6%

roughly 2 in 5

Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

Seattle Sounders 99%

Draw 1%

Sporting Kansas City 0%

At 90' (2-1): home 99%, draw 1%, away 0%.