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MLSfinal

Sporting Kansas City vs FC Dallas

Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 7:00 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

FC Dallas winmiss
46.7%
roughly 1 in 2
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Sporting Kansas City winLong shotmiss
30.6%
roughly 3 in 10
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Draw (90 min)Long shothit
22.8%
roughly 1 in 5
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickhit
67.5%
roughly 7 in 10
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickmiss
67.3%
roughly 7 in 10
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Corners

FC Dallas — Corners under 6.5miss
Why
Rest days↑
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.40
Shots for (last 5)
14.80
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.9%
roughly 4 in 5
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Sporting Kansas City — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.80
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
8.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.4%
roughly 7 in 10
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Sporting Kansas City — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.80
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
8.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
FC Dallas — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days↑
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.40
Shots for (last 5)
14.80
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.3%
roughly 3 in 5
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FC Dallas — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days↑
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.40
Shots for (last 5)
14.80
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
11.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.2%
roughly 3 in 5
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Sporting Kansas City — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.80
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
8.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.6%
roughly 3 in 5
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Sporting Kansas City — Corners over 4.5miss
Why
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.80
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
8.00
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
14.20
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

55.0%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

P. Musa to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.80
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.60
Player key passes (last 5)↑
1.80
Player minutes (last 5)
77.80
Absence rate r10
0.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.0%
roughly 2 in 5
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André Luiz to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Absence rate r10↑
0.00
Player minutes (last 5)
76.20
Player key passes (last 5)
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

35.4%
roughly 2 in 5
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S. Afrifa to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
71.40
Player key passes (last 5)
1.40
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

21.0%
roughly 1 in 5
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Goalkeeper Saves

S. Cleveland over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.20
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.60
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.20
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.1%
roughly 2 in 5
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Daniel over 3.5 savesLong shot
Why
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.80
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.80
Player saves (last 5)↑
2.60
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.1%
roughly 2 in 5
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In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'19' Goal (FC Dallas)19' Goal (FC Dallas) — H. Johansson45+2' Goal (Sporting Kansas City) — Jansen Miller
Sporting Kansas City 8%
Draw 82%
FC Dallas 10%

At 90' (1-1): home 8%, draw 82%, away 10%.