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EPLscheduled

Coventry vs Sunderland

Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 3:00 PM (your local time)

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Match Result

Sunderland winLong shot
36.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink
Coventry winLong shot
32.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink
Draw (90 min)Long shot
30.9%
roughly 3 in 10
Permalink

Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsLong shot
38.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

Corners

Coventry — Corners under 6.5
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.08
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
9.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.9%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Sunderland — Corners under 5.5
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.80
Shots against (last 5)↓
16.00
Rest days
5
xG for (last 5)
1.57
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
0.67
Fouls for r5
11.40
xG against (last 5)
2.45
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.5%
roughly 4 in 5
Permalink
Coventry — Corners under 5.5Bold pick
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.08
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
9.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Sunderland — Corners under 4.5Bold pick
Why
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.80
Shots against (last 5)↓
16.00
Rest days
5
xG for (last 5)
1.57
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
0.67
Fouls for r5
11.40
xG against (last 5)
2.45
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Coventry — Corners over 3.5Bold pick
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.08
Corners for (last 5)↓
3.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
9.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Shots on Target

Coventry — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pick
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.08
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
7
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
9.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Coventry — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pick
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.08
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
7
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
9.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Sunderland — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pick
Why
Rest days↓
5
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.80
xG for (last 5)
1.57
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
0.67
Fouls for r5
11.40
xG against (last 5)
2.45
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Sunderland — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pick
Why
Rest days↓
5
Shots for (last 5)↓
11.80
xG for (last 5)
1.57
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Reds for r5
0.67
Fouls for r5
11.40
xG against (last 5)
2.45
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Coventry — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pick
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.08
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
7
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
9.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink
Coventry — Shots on Target over 3.5
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.08
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
7
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
9.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Cards

Card predictions use the league-average referee. A match's referee is rarely assigned when these predictions are made, about three days before kickoff, so the specific referee's tendencies are not part of the model.

Coventry — Cards under 2.5Bold pick
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.00
Rest days↑
7
xG for (last 5)
1.08
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
9.00
Shots for (last 5)
11.60
xG against (last 5)
1.61
Corners for (last 5)
3.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.80
Shots against (last 5)
18.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00
Referee avg cards r10
4.16

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Sunderland — Cards over 1.5Bold pick
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↑
0.67
Rest days
5
xG for (last 5)
1.57
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
2.45
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Permalink
Sunderland — Cards under 2.5
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↑
0.67
Rest days
5
xG for (last 5)
1.57
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.80
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
11.80
xG against (last 5)
2.45
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.00
Yellows for r5
2.00
Shots against (last 5)
16.00
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Permalink

Anytime Goalscorer

Enzo Le Fée to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.80
Player minutes (last 5)
86.00
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

19.8%
roughly 1 in 5
Permalink

Goalkeeper Saves

Carl Rushworth over 3.5 saves
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
18.60
Player saves (last 5)↑
2.40
Corners against (last 5)↑
5.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

50.6%
roughly 1 in 2
Permalink
Robin Roefs over 3.5 savesLong shot
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.00
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.60
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.60
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

41.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Permalink

In-play win probability

Recomputed about once a minute from the live score. Separate from the locked pre-match predictions above, and never graded.

0%50%100%0'45'90'17' Goal (Coventry) — Tatsuhiro Sakamoto37' Goal (Coventry) — Taiwo Awoniyi52' Goal (Coventry) — Jack Rudoni67' Goal (Sunderland) — Enzo Le Fée
Coventry 100%
Draw 0%
Sunderland 0%

At 90' (3-1): home 100%, draw 0%, away 0%.

Voided predictions (1)

Kept public, never deleted. Each one says why it was voided.

  • Sunderland — Corners under 3.5Permalink

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.