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LA_LIGAfinal

Alaves vs Malaga

Friday, October 23, 2026 at 7:00 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Alaves winBold pickmiss
64.9%
roughly 3 in 5
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Draw (90 min)Long shothit
22.1%
roughly 1 in 5
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Malaga winLong shotmiss
13.0%
roughly 1 in 10
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreLong shothit
42.5%
roughly 2 in 5
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Corners

Alaves — Corners under 6.5miss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
2.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.17
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.62
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.9%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Malaga — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.80
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.00
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
xG against (last 5)
2.17
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.5%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Alaves — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
2.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.17
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.62
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.4%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Malaga — Corners under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.80
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.00
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
Shots for (last 5)
12.00
xG against (last 5)
2.17
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Alaves — Corners under 4.5miss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↓
2.60
xG for (last 5)↓
1.17
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.62
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Malaga — Shots on Target under 4.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.80
Shots for (last 5)↓
12.00
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
xG against (last 5)
2.17
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.1%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Alaves — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.17
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.60
Rest days
5
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.62
Corners for (last 5)
2.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Alaves — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.17
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.60
Rest days
5
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.62
Corners for (last 5)
2.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Alaves — Shots on Target under 4.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.17
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.60
Rest days
5
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.62
Corners for (last 5)
2.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Malaga — Shots on Target under 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.80
Shots for (last 5)↓
12.00
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
xG against (last 5)
2.17
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Alaves — Shots on Target over 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
1.17
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.60
Rest days
5
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.62
Corners for (last 5)
2.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Malaga — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↓
0.80
Shots for (last 5)↓
12.00
Rest days
5
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.00
Fouls for r5
11.40
xG against (last 5)
2.17
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
2.60
Shots against (last 5)
16.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.4%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

Lucas Boyé to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.80
Player minutes (last 5)
81.80
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

29.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Toni Martínez to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.50
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
67.40
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

24.8%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Rafa Rodríguez to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.33
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.00
Player minutes (last 5)↑
60.33
Player key passes (last 5)
0.50
Absence rate r10
0.38

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

15.8%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

Alfonso Herrero over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
16.60
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Corners against (last 5)↑
4.20
Player saves (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

46.6%
roughly 1 in 2
Enlace permanente
Antonio Sivera over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.60
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.80
Player saves (last 5)↓
3.20
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'44' Gol (Malaga) — Adrián Niño Heredia89' Gol (Alaves) — Aitor Mañas
Alaves 10%
Empate 86%
Malaga 4%

Al minuto 90 (1-1): local 10%, empate 86%, visitante 4%.

Predicciones anuladas (3)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Alaves — Corners over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Chupe to scoreEnlace permanente

    Slated 33 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.