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SERIE_Afinal

Monza vs Cagliari

Monday, October 19, 2026 at 4:30 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Monza winLong shothit
36.6%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Cagliari winLong shotmiss
36.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
27.0%
roughly 3 in 10
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Corners

Monza — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.13
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.80
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.1%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Cagliari — Corners under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners against (last 5)↓
7.80
Shots against (last 5)↓
22.20
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.13
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
7.80
Shots for (last 5)
8.80
xG against (last 5)
2.22
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Monza — Corners over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.13
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.80
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Monza — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.13
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.80
Rest days
8
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.60
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Cagliari — Corners under 3.5miss
Why
Corners against (last 5)↓
7.80
Shots against (last 5)↓
22.20
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.13
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
7.80
Shots for (last 5)
8.80
xG against (last 5)
2.22
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Cagliari — Shots on Target under 4.5miss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
22.20
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.13
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
7.80
Shots for (last 5)
8.80
xG against (last 5)
2.22
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.4%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Monza — Shots on Target over 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.13
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
6.60
Rest days
8
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.80
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.6%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Cagliari — Shots on Target under 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
22.20
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.13
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
7.80
Shots for (last 5)
8.80
xG against (last 5)
2.22
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Monza — Shots on Target over 4.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.13
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
6.60
Rest days
8
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.80
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Cagliari — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
22.20
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.13
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
7.80
Shots for (last 5)
8.80
xG against (last 5)
2.22
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Yellows for r5
1.00
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Monza — Shots on Target under 5.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.13
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
6.60
Rest days
8
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.80
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

55.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Cagliari — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.00
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.13
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
7.80
Shots for (last 5)
8.80
xG against (last 5)
2.22
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Shots against (last 5)
22.20
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Monza — Cards over 1.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Reds for r5↑
1.00
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
8
xG for (last 5)
2.13
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.60
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.80
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Monza — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Reds for r5↑
1.00
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
8
xG for (last 5)
2.13
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.60
Fouls for r5
12.20
Shots for (last 5)
15.80
xG against (last 5)
1.30
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
12.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Cagliari — Cards over 1.5hit
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.00
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
1.13
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
7.80
Shots for (last 5)
8.80
xG against (last 5)
2.22
Corners for (last 5)
3.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.80
Shots against (last 5)
22.20
Corners against (last 5)
7.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

D. Maldini to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
70.20
Absence rate r10
0.90

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

23.6%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

E. Caprile over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
22.20
Corners against (last 5)↑
7.80
Player saves (last 5)↓
5.20
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'39' Gol (Monza) — E. Kouadio40' Gol (Monza) — E. Kouadio47' Gol (Monza) — Gustavo Varela66' Gol (Monza) — Jay Robinson79' Gol (Monza) — Gustavo Varela
Monza 100%
Empate 0%
Cagliari 0%

Al minuto 90 (4-0): local 100%, empate 0%, visitante 0%.

Predicciones anuladas (2)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Both teams to scoreEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.