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SERIE_Afinal

Sassuolo vs Milan

Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 4:00 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Sassuolo winLong shotmiss
25.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shothit
23.3%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Corners

Milan — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.75
Corners for (last 5)↓
2.80
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.31
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
9.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Sassuolo — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.92
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.20
Rest days
22
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Fouls for r5
8.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.75
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.6%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Milan — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.75
Corners for (last 5)↓
2.80
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.31
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
9.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Sassuolo — Corners over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.92
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.20
Rest days
22
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Fouls for r5
8.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.75
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Sassuolo — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.92
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.20
Rest days
22
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Fouls for r5
8.80
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.75
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Milan — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.75
Corners for (last 5)↓
2.80
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.31
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
9.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Milan — Shots on Target under 5.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.75
Shots against (last 5)↑
9.00
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.31
Corners for (last 5)
2.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.7%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Sassuolo — Shots on Target over 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.92
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
7.00
Rest days
22
Fouls for r5
8.80
Shots for (last 5)
17.20
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.75
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.6%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Milan — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.75
Shots against (last 5)↑
9.00
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.31
Corners for (last 5)
2.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Milan — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.75
Shots against (last 5)↑
9.00
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.31
Corners for (last 5)
2.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Sassuolo — Shots on Target over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.92
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
7.00
Rest days
22
Fouls for r5
8.80
Shots for (last 5)
17.20
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.75
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

60.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Sassuolo — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days↓
22
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
xG for (last 5)
1.92
Shots on target for (last 5)
7.00
Fouls for r5
8.80
Shots for (last 5)
17.20
xG against (last 5)
1.47
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.00
Yellows for r5
1.75
Shots against (last 5)
15.80
Corners against (last 5)
6.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Milan — Cards under 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days↓
20
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
xG for (last 5)
1.75
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.31
Corners for (last 5)
2.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
9.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Milan — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days↓
20
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
xG for (last 5)
1.75
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
12.80
xG against (last 5)
1.31
Corners for (last 5)
2.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.40
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
9.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

Armand Laurienté to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.50
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.60
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

25.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Gonçalo Ramos to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.67
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
89.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.00
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

23.6%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Domenico Berardi to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player minutes (last 5)
71.40
Absence rate r10
0.30

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

16.2%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

Arijanet Murić over 3.5 saveshit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
15.80
Corners against (last 5)↑
6.80
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.20
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

47.1%
roughly 1 in 2
Enlace permanente
Mike Maignan over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
9.00
Player saves (last 5)↓
3.25
Corners against (last 5)↓
3.40
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

32.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'63' Gol (Milan) — A. Rabiot68' Gol (Sassuolo) — C. Odenthal
Sassuolo 7%
Empate 84%
Milan 10%

Al minuto 90 (1-1): local 7%, empate 84%, visitante 10%.

Predicciones anuladas (3)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Both teams to scoreEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Milan winEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.