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EPLfinal

Manchester City vs Brighton

Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 3:00 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Manchester City winBold pickmiss
60.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
21.6%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Brighton winLong shothit
18.4%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickmiss
60.7%
roughly 3 in 5
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickmiss
63.9%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Manchester City — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.37
xG against (last 5)↑
1.76
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
12.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.93
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.20
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
12.40
xG against (last 5)
1.19
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.3%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.93
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.20
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
12.40
xG against (last 5)
1.19
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Manchester City — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.37
xG against (last 5)↑
1.76
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
12.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.93
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.20
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
12.40
xG against (last 5)
1.19
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Brighton — Shots on Target over 2.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.20
xG for (last 5)↑
1.93
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
12.40
xG against (last 5)
1.19
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.9%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Manchester City — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.37
Shots against (last 5)↓
12.40
Rest days
7
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
12.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
xG against (last 5)
1.76
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.20
xG for (last 5)↑
1.93
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
12.40
xG against (last 5)
1.19
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
17.20
xG for (last 5)↑
1.93
Rest days
6
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.50
Fouls for r5
12.40
xG against (last 5)
1.19
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.7%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Brighton — Cards under 3.5hit
Why
Reds for r5↑
0.50
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.93
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Fouls for r5
12.40
Shots for (last 5)
17.20
xG against (last 5)
1.19
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.3%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Cards over 1.5hit
Why
Reds for r5↑
0.50
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
6
xG for (last 5)
1.93
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Fouls for r5
12.40
Shots for (last 5)
17.20
xG against (last 5)
1.19
Corners for (last 5)
4.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.25
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.5%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Manchester City — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Reds for r5↑
0.50
Rest days
7
xG for (last 5)
2.37
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Fouls for r5
12.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.20
xG against (last 5)
1.76
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.60
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
12.40
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

Erling Haaland to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
1.10
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
88.00
Player key passes (last 5)
0.60
Absence rate r10
0.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

36.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Charalampos Kostoulas to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.75
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.80
Player minutes (last 5)
76.20
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

25.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

Gianluigi Donnarumma over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.60
Shots against (last 5)↓
12.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
2.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Bart Verbruggen over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.40
Player saves (last 5)↓
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'10' Gol (Brighton)11' Gol (Brighton) — Yasin Ayari
Manchester City 1%
Empate 11%
Brighton 88%

Al minuto 90 (0-1): local 1%, empate 11%, visitante 88%.

Predicciones anuladas (6)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Manchester City — Corners under 6.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Manchester City — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Brighton — Corners under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Manchester City — Corners under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Brighton — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Brighton — Corners under 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.