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EPLfinal

Sunderland vs Brighton

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Brighton winLong shothit
40.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Sunderland winLong shotmiss
32.8%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
27.1%
roughly 3 in 10
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Corners

Sunderland — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.16
Corners for (last 5)↓
4.00
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.6%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.55
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.00
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.80
Yellows for r5
3.00
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

73.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.55
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.00
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.80
Yellows for r5
3.00
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Sunderland — Corners over 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.16
Corners for (last 5)↓
4.00
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Sunderland — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.16
Corners for (last 5)↓
4.00
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.55
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.00
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.80
Yellows for r5
3.00
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.9%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Brighton — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.55
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.00
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.80
Yellows for r5
3.00
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Sunderland — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.16
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.00
Rest days
20
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.55
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.00
Rest days
21
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.80
Yellows for r5
3.00
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Sunderland — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
2.16
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.00
Rest days
20
Reds for r5
1.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Sunderland — Cards over 1.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Reds for r5↑
1.00
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
20
xG for (last 5)
2.16
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Cards over 1.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Yellows for r5↑
3.00
Rest days↓
21
xG for (last 5)
2.55
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
19.00
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.60
Referee avg cards r10
4.16

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

66.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Sunderland — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Reds for r5↑
1.00
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
20
xG for (last 5)
2.16
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.20
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
4.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.20
Yellows for r5
2.40
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Brighton — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Yellows for r5↑
3.00
Rest days↓
21
xG for (last 5)
2.55
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.00
Shots for (last 5)
19.00
xG against (last 5)
1.92
Corners for (last 5)
5.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.80
Shots against (last 5)
11.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.60
Referee avg cards r10
4.16

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

Enzo Le Fée to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.33
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
87.80
Player key passes (last 5)
2.00
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

26.3%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Charalampos Kostoulas to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.80
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.29
Player minutes (last 5)↓
72.40
Player key passes (last 5)
0.40
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.1%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

Bart Verbruggen over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.60
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.60
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.6%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Robin Roefs over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
12.00
Player saves (last 5)↓
1.50
Corners against (last 5)↑
3.80
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

34.2%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'53' Gol (Brighton) — M. De Cuyper57' Tarjeta roja (Brighton) — Pascal Struijk90+3' Gol (Brighton) — J. Hadjam
Sunderland 0%
Empate 1%
Brighton 99%

Al minuto 90 (0-2): local 0%, empate 1%, visitante 99%.

Predicciones anuladas (2)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Both teams to scoreEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.