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EPLfinal

Chelsea vs Bournemouth

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 2:00 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Bournemouth winLong shotmiss
27.9%
roughly 3 in 10
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Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
24.1%
roughly 1 in 5
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickhit
64.5%
roughly 3 in 5
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickhit
63.4%
roughly 3 in 5
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Corners

Bournemouth — Corners under 6.5miss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
13.60
Rest days↑
20
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Fouls for r5
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.54
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
10.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.7%
roughly 4 in 5
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Chelsea — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.60
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.40
Rest days
21
xG for (last 5)
1.62
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Fouls for r5
8.60
xG against (last 5)
1.95
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.6%
roughly 4 in 5
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Bournemouth — Corners under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
13.60
Rest days↑
20
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Fouls for r5
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.54
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
10.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.0%
roughly 7 in 10
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Chelsea — Corners over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.60
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.40
Rest days
21
xG for (last 5)
1.62
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Fouls for r5
8.60
xG against (last 5)
1.95
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.0%
roughly 7 in 10
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Chelsea — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Corners for (last 5)↑
6.60
Shots for (last 5)↑
14.40
Rest days
21
xG for (last 5)
1.62
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Fouls for r5
8.60
xG against (last 5)
1.95
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.5%
roughly 3 in 5
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Bournemouth — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
13.60
Rest days↑
20
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Fouls for r5
12.00
xG against (last 5)
1.54
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
10.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.4%
roughly 3 in 5
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Shots on Target

Bournemouth — Shots on Target under 5.5hit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.20
Shots against (last 5)↑
10.80
Rest days
20
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
xG against (last 5)
1.54
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

75.7%
roughly 4 in 5
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Bournemouth — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.20
Shots against (last 5)↑
10.80
Rest days
20
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
xG against (last 5)
1.54
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

72.7%
roughly 7 in 10
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Chelsea — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.20
xG for (last 5)↑
1.62
Rest days
21
Fouls for r5
8.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.95
Corners for (last 5)
6.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.3%
roughly 7 in 10
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Chelsea — Shots on Target under 5.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.20
xG for (last 5)↑
1.62
Rest days
21
Fouls for r5
8.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.95
Corners for (last 5)
6.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

63.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Bournemouth — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
5.20
Shots against (last 5)↑
10.80
Rest days
20
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
xG against (last 5)
1.54
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Yellows for r5
2.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.9%
roughly 3 in 5
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Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Chelsea — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days↓
21
xG for (last 5)
1.62
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Fouls for r5
8.60
Shots for (last 5)
14.40
xG against (last 5)
1.95
Corners for (last 5)
6.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.40
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
14.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Bournemouth — Cards over 1.5Bold pickhit
Why
Yellows for r5↑
2.80
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
20
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
xG against (last 5)
1.54
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Shots against (last 5)
10.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Bournemouth — Cards under 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Yellows for r5↑
2.80
Referee avg cards r10↑
4.16
Rest days
20
xG for (last 5)
1.49
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Fouls for r5
12.00
Shots for (last 5)
13.60
xG against (last 5)
1.54
Corners for (last 5)
4.20
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.00
Shots against (last 5)
10.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

61.0%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

Marcus Tavernier to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
85.40
Player key passes (last 5)
1.80
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

26.2%
roughly 3 in 10
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Rayan to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
87.60
Player key passes (last 5)
0.75
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

19.9%
roughly 1 in 5
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Goalkeeper Saves

Emiliano Martínez over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.40
Player minutes (last 5)↓
81.20
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.60
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.7%
roughly 2 in 5
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Đorđe Petrović over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
10.80
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.20
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.60
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

37.4%
roughly 2 in 5
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Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'2' Gol (Chelsea)2' Gol (Chelsea) — Jordan Henderson3' Gol (Chelsea) — M. Rogers46' Gol (Chelsea) — João Pedro51' Gol (Bournemouth) — Evanilson67' Gol (Chelsea) — João Pedro70' Gol (Chelsea) — Jordan Henderson
Chelsea 100%
Empate 0%
Bournemouth 0%

Al minuto 90 (5-1): local 100%, empate 0%, visitante 0%.

Predicciones anuladas (1)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Chelsea winEnlace permanente

    Slated 44 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.