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EPLfinal

Arsenal vs Leeds United

Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 11:30 AM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Arsenal winBold pickhit
67.2%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
20.7%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Leeds United winLong shotmiss
12.1%
roughly 1 in 10
Enlace permanente

Corners

Leeds United — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.73
Rest days↑
19
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.43
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

78.6%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Arsenal — Corners over 3.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.88
Corners against (last 5)↑
3.20
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
13.00
xG against (last 5)
0.89
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
2.80
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
10.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

76.6%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Leeds United — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.73
Rest days↑
19
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.43
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Arsenal — Corners over 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.88
Corners against (last 5)↑
3.20
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
13.00
xG against (last 5)
0.89
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
2.80
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
10.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

65.0%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Arsenal — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.88
Corners against (last 5)↑
3.20
Rest days
20
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
13.00
xG against (last 5)
0.89
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
2.80
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
10.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Leeds United — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.73
Rest days↑
19
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.43
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.6%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Shots on Target

Arsenal — Shots on Target over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.88
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
13.00
xG against (last 5)
0.89
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
2.80
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
10.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.1%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Leeds United — Shots on Target under 4.5Bold pickmiss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.73
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
19
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.43
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

68.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Leeds United — Shots on Target over 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.73
Shots on target for (last 5)↓
3.60
Rest days
19
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.43
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.9%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Arsenal — Shots on Target over 4.5hit
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.88
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
13.00
xG against (last 5)
0.89
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
2.80
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
10.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.1%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Arsenal — Shots on Target under 5.5miss
Why
xG for (last 5)↑
1.88
Shots on target for (last 5)↑
4.80
Rest days
20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
13.00
xG against (last 5)
0.89
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
2.80
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
10.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Cards

Las predicciones de tarjetas usan el árbitro promedio de la liga. El árbitro de un partido casi nunca está asignado cuando se hacen estas predicciones, unos tres días antes del partido, así que las tendencias del árbitro concreto no forman parte del modelo.

Arsenal — Cards under 2.5Bold pickhit
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.40
Rest days↓
20
xG for (last 5)
1.88
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.80
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.20
Shots for (last 5)
13.00
xG against (last 5)
0.89
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
2.80
Shots against (last 5)
10.60
Corners against (last 5)
3.20
Referee avg cards r10
4.16

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

74.7%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Leeds United — Cards under 2.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.40
Rest days↓
19
xG for (last 5)
1.73
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.43
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80
Referee avg cards r10
4.16

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

71.5%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Leeds United — Cards over 1.5hit
Why
Yellows for r5↓
1.40
Rest days↓
19
xG for (last 5)
1.73
Shots on target for (last 5)
3.60
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
12.20
xG against (last 5)
1.43
Corners for (last 5)
4.40
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.20
Shots against (last 5)
14.60
Corners against (last 5)
4.80
Referee avg cards r10
4.16

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.2%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

Dominic Calvert-Lewin to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
1.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
84.20
Player key passes (last 5)
0.67
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

23.8%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Jayden Bogle to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.40
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
73.80
Player key passes (last 5)
0.50
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

22.7%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Bukayo Saka to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
1.75
Player minutes (last 5)
83.60
Absence rate r10
0.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

21.6%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

James Trafford over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
14.60
Corners against (last 5)↓
4.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

41.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
David Raya over 3.5 savesLong shothit
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
10.60
Corners against (last 5)↑
3.20
Player saves (last 5)↓
2.25
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.1%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'
Arsenal 57%
Empate 29%
Leeds United 14%

Al minuto 41 (0-0): local 57%, empate 29%, visitante 14%.

Predicciones anuladas (2)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 43 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Both teams to scoreEnlace permanente

    Slated 43 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.