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MLSfinal

New York City FC vs Los Angeles FC

Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 11:30 PM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

Los Angeles FC winLong shotmiss
36.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
New York City FC winLong shotmiss
35.6%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shothit
28.1%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente

Corners

Los Angeles FC — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.00
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
0.20
Fouls for r5
10.20
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
15.40
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
New York City FC — Corners under 6.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.6%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
New York City FC — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.3%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Los Angeles FC — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.00
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
0.20
Fouls for r5
10.20
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
15.40
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
Los Angeles FC — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
15.00
Rest days
2
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.60
Reds for r5
0.20
Fouls for r5
10.20
Corners for (last 5)
5.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
5.60
Yellows for r5
2.20
Shots against (last 5)
15.40
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
New York City FC — Corners under 5.5miss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.60
Shots for (last 5)
11.40
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.00
Shots against (last 5)
12.00
Corners against (last 5)
5.60

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.0%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

D. Bouanga to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.20
Player minutes (last 5)↓
89.00
Player key passes (last 5)
1.25
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

39.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
Luighi Hanri to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.38
Player minutes (last 5)↑
66.00
Player shots (last 5)↑
1.20
Player key passes (last 5)
0.00
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

18.8%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente
Talles Magno to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.67
Player minutes (last 5)↑
55.80
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player goals (last 10)
0.10
Absence rate r10
0.70

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.9%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

H. Lloris over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
15.60
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.20
Player minutes (last 5)↑
92.00
Corners against (last 5)
6.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

44.4%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
M. Freese over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
12.00
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.60
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

36.2%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'45+1' Gol (Los Angeles FC) — L. Walta59' Gol (New York City FC) — A. Perea
New York City FC 7%
Empate 86%
Los Angeles FC 7%

Al minuto 90 (1-1): local 7%, empate 86%, visitante 7%.

Predicciones anuladas (11)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Los Angeles FC — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • New York City FC — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    MLS shots-on-target paused 2026-10-16: the pooled props model never trained on MLS and under-predicted MLS shots on target by 11-16% (registry 2026-10-15, Todoist 6hmV8gr2VhFrWGh7). Withdrawn before kickoff; no outcome was known when voided.

  • Los Angeles FC — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • New York City FC — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • New York City FC — Shots on Target over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Los Angeles FC — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • New York City FC — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    MLS shots-on-target paused 2026-10-16: the pooled props model never trained on MLS and under-predicted MLS shots on target by 11-16% (registry 2026-10-15, Todoist 6hmV8gr2VhFrWGh7). Withdrawn before kickoff; no outcome was known when voided.

  • Los Angeles FC — Shots on Target over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Los Angeles FC — Corners under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Over 2.5 goalsEnlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • T. Romero over 3.5 savesEnlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.