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MLSfinal

St. Louis City vs Portland Timbers

Thursday, October 29, 2026 at 12:30 AM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

St. Louis City winmiss
51.5%
roughly 1 in 2
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Portland Timbers winLong shothit
26.3%
roughly 3 in 10
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Draw (90 min)Long shotmiss
22.1%
roughly 1 in 5
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Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scoreBold pickhit
66.5%
roughly 7 in 10
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Total Goals

Over 2.5 goalsBold pickhit
67.3%
roughly 7 in 10
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Corners

Portland Timbers — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
9.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

70.4%
roughly 7 in 10
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St. Louis City — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
14.00
Shots for (last 5)
10.40
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.3%
roughly 7 in 10
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St. Louis City — Corners over 3.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
14.00
Shots for (last 5)
10.40
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

69.0%
roughly 7 in 10
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Portland Timbers — Corners under 4.5hit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
9.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

58.5%
roughly 3 in 5
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St. Louis City — Corners under 5.5hit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
5.20
Reds for r5
0.25
Fouls for r5
14.00
Shots for (last 5)
10.40
Corners for (last 5)
3.60
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.60
Shots against (last 5)
18.40
Corners against (last 5)
6.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

57.6%
roughly 3 in 5
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Portland Timbers — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
6.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
11.60
Shots for (last 5)
15.40
Corners for (last 5)
5.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
4.40
Yellows for r5
1.40
Shots against (last 5)
9.80
Corners against (last 5)
4.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

56.1%
roughly 3 in 5
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Anytime Goalscorer

Carlo Holse to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.86
Player shots (last 5)↑
3.00
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.00
Player minutes (last 5)
77.80
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

42.5%
roughly 2 in 5
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Kevin Kelsy to scoreLong shot
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.80
Player key passes (last 5)↓
1.00
Player minutes (last 5)
84.80
Absence rate r10
1.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

37.0%
roughly 2 in 5
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S. Becher to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.60
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.20
Player key passes (last 5)↓
0.25
Player minutes (last 5)
68.20
Absence rate r10
0.50

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

32.5%
roughly 3 in 10
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Kristoffer Velde to scoreLong shothit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.30
Player shots (last 5)↑
4.50
Player minutes (last 5)↓
89.40
Player key passes (last 5)
1.40
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

28.6%
roughly 3 in 10
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Goalkeeper Saves

B. Lundt over 3.5 savesmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↑
18.40
Corners against (last 5)↓
6.00
Player minutes (last 5)↓
90.00
Player saves (last 5)
2.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

47.5%
roughly 1 in 2
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James Pantemis over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Player saves (last 5)↑
2.40
Shots against (last 5)↓
9.80
Corners against (last 5)↑
4.00
Player minutes (last 5)
90.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

40.1%
roughly 2 in 5
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Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'42' Gol (Portland Timbers)42' Gol (Portland Timbers) — K. Velde45+3' Gol (Portland Timbers) — David Pereira da Costa48' Gol (Portland Timbers) — K. Velde58' Gol (St. Louis City) — D. Edelman70' Gol (Portland Timbers) — K. Velde90+1' Gol (St. Louis City) — Jeong Sang-Bin90+2' Gol (St. Louis City) — Jeong Sang-Bin90+6' Tarjeta roja (Portland Timbers) — K. Miller
St. Louis City 2%
Empate 16%
Portland Timbers 83%

Al minuto 90 (2-3): local 2%, empate 16%, visitante 83%.