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MLSfinal

San Jose Earthquakes vs Nashville SC

Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 2:30 AM (tu hora local)

Pregúntale a Petey

Match Result

San Jose Earthquakes winLong shotmiss
30.7%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente
Draw (90 min)Long shothit
25.4%
roughly 3 in 10
Enlace permanente

Both Teams to Score

Both teams to scorehit
58.3%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Corners

Nashville SC — Corners under 6.5hit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.40
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

79.0%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
San Jose Earthquakes — Corners over 3.5hit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
13.80
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

77.5%
roughly 4 in 5
Enlace permanente
Nashville SC — Corners under 5.5Bold pickhit
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.40
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

67.8%
roughly 7 in 10
Enlace permanente
San Jose Earthquakes — Corners under 6.5Bold pickhit
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
13.80
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

64.5%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
Nashville SC — Corners over 3.5Bold pickmiss
Why
Shots for (last 5)↑
19.40
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
8.20
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
13.40
Corners for (last 5)
6.00
Shots on target against (last 5)
3.00
Yellows for r5
1.20
Shots against (last 5)
11.00
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

62.4%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente
San Jose Earthquakes — Corners over 4.5miss
Why
Rest days
3
Shots on target for (last 5)
4.60
Reds for r5
0.00
Fouls for r5
10.80
Shots for (last 5)
13.80
Corners for (last 5)
5.80
Shots on target against (last 5)
6.20
Yellows for r5
1.80
Shots against (last 5)
13.40
Corners against (last 5)
5.20

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

59.8%
roughly 3 in 5
Enlace permanente

Anytime Goalscorer

H. Mukhtar to scorehit
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.70
Player shots (last 5)↑
4.40
Player key passes (last 5)↑
2.75
Player minutes (last 5)
87.40
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

46.2%
roughly 1 in 2
Enlace permanente
S. Surridge to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player goals (last 10)↑
0.50
Player shots (last 5)↑
4.80
Player minutes (last 5)↓
89.80
Player key passes (last 5)
1.00
Absence rate r10
0.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

35.9%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
O. Bouda to scoreLong shotmiss
Why
Player shots (last 5)↑
2.25
Player minutes (last 5)↑
65.00
Player goals (last 10)↓
0.10
Player key passes (last 5)
0.50
Absence rate r10
0.10

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

17.6%
roughly 1 in 5
Enlace permanente

Goalkeeper Saves

B. Schwake over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Shots against (last 5)↓
11.00
Player saves (last 5)↑
3.25
Player minutes (last 5)↑
91.20
Corners against (last 5)
3.40

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

40.3%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente
A. Gunn over 3.5 savesLong shotmiss
Why
Player saves (last 5)↓
4.50
Shots against (last 5)↑
13.40
Corners against (last 5)↓
5.20
Player minutes (last 5)
92.00

Arrows show which of these mattered most to the model for this specific prediction, and in which direction.

38.8%
roughly 2 in 5
Enlace permanente

Probabilidad de victoria en vivo

Se recalcula aproximadamente cada minuto con el marcador en vivo. Es independiente de las predicciones fijadas antes del partido y nunca se califica.

0%50%100%0'45'90'34' Gol (Nashville SC) — H. Mukhtar70' Gol (San Jose Earthquakes) — P. Judd
San Jose Earthquakes 7%
Empate 84%
Nashville SC 9%

Al minuto 90 (1-1): local 7%, empate 84%, visitante 9%.

Predicciones anuladas (15)

Siguen siendo públicas y nunca se borran. Cada una indica por qué se anuló.

  • Nashville SC — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • San Jose Earthquakes — Shots on Target over 2.5Enlace permanente

    MLS shots-on-target paused 2026-10-16: the pooled props model never trained on MLS and under-predicted MLS shots on target by 11-16% (registry 2026-10-15, Todoist 6hmV8gr2VhFrWGh7). Withdrawn before kickoff; no outcome was known when voided.

  • Nashville SC — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • San Jose Earthquakes — Shots on Target under 5.5Enlace permanente

    MLS shots-on-target paused 2026-10-16: the pooled props model never trained on MLS and under-predicted MLS shots on target by 11-16% (registry 2026-10-15, Todoist 6hmV8gr2VhFrWGh7). Withdrawn before kickoff; no outcome was known when voided.

  • San Jose Earthquakes — Shots on Target over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Nashville SC — Corners under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Nashville SC — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • San Jose Earthquakes — Shots on Target under 4.5Enlace permanente

    MLS shots-on-target paused 2026-10-16: the pooled props model never trained on MLS and under-predicted MLS shots on target by 11-16% (registry 2026-10-15, Todoist 6hmV8gr2VhFrWGh7). Withdrawn before kickoff; no outcome was known when voided.

  • Nashville SC — Shots on Target over 3.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • San Jose Earthquakes — Corners under 5.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • San Jose Earthquakes — Shots on Target over 4.5Enlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • Nashville SC winEnlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • E. Edwards over 3.5 savesEnlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • J. Willis over 3.5 savesEnlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.

  • P. Judd to scoreEnlace permanente

    Slated 20 days before kickoff, outside the 3-day slate window (ADR-012); superseded by a fresh slate.